President Trump remains firmly in office 15 months into his second term, actively leading with a national address on April 1 detailing progress in the Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury and signing executive orders on pharmaceuticals and voter eligibility as recently as April 2. Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects the absence of viable removal paths—impeachment requires House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction amid Republican majorities, while 25th Amendment invocation or resignation lack institutional support despite fringe protests and petitions. Recent cabinet shifts, like firing Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal routine adjustments rather than instability. Low-probability scenarios such as a health crisis, scandal-driven impeachment momentum, or voluntary resignation could still alter outcomes before April 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$496,907 Vol.
$496,907 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
Oui
$496,907 Vol.
$496,907 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains firmly in office 15 months into his second term, actively leading with a national address on April 1 detailing progress in the Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury and signing executive orders on pharmaceuticals and voter eligibility as recently as April 2. Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects the absence of viable removal paths—impeachment requires House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction amid Republican majorities, while 25th Amendment invocation or resignation lack institutional support despite fringe protests and petitions. Recent cabinet shifts, like firing Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal routine adjustments rather than instability. Low-probability scenarios such as a health crisis, scandal-driven impeachment momentum, or voluntary resignation could still alter outcomes before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volume
$496,907Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains firmly in office 15 months into his second term, actively leading with a national address on April 1 detailing progress in the Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury and signing executive orders on pharmaceuticals and voter eligibility as recently as April 2. Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects the absence of viable removal paths—impeachment requires House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction amid Republican majorities, while 25th Amendment invocation or resignation lack institutional support despite fringe protests and petitions. Recent cabinet shifts, like firing Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal routine adjustments rather than instability. Low-probability scenarios such as a health crisis, scandal-driven impeachment momentum, or voluntary resignation could still alter outcomes before April 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$496,907Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump remains firmly in office 15 months into his second term, actively leading with a national address on April 1 detailing progress in the Iran conflict under Operation Epic Fury and signing executive orders on pharmaceuticals and voter eligibility as recently as April 2. Trader consensus at 99% "No" reflects the absence of viable removal paths—impeachment requires House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction amid Republican majorities, while 25th Amendment invocation or resignation lack institutional support despite fringe protests and petitions. Recent cabinet shifts, like firing Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal routine adjustments rather than instability. Low-probability scenarios such as a health crisis, scandal-driven impeachment momentum, or voluntary resignation could still alter outcomes before April 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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