Market icon
Politique·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Presidential Election Winner 2024

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Polymarket

$3,686,335,059 Vol.

Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,531,479,285 Vol.

Yes

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Joe Biden

$72,176,112 Vol.

No

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Nikki Haley

$107,529,158 Vol.

No

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Gavin Newsom

$54,161,276 Vol.

No

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$141,605,111 Vol.

No

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Ron DeSantis

$46,309,049 Vol.

No

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$21,181,731 Vol.

No

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Kamala Harris

$1,037,039,118 Vol.

No

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Chris Christie

$14,192,736 Vol.

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$14,714,814 Vol.

No

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Bernie Sanders

$9,829,356 Vol.

No

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AOC

$22,011,561 Vol.

No

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Other Democrat Politician

$116,558,196 Vol.

No

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Other Republican Politician

$241,655,100 Vol.

No

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Kanye

$9,203,012 Vol.

No

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Michelle Obama

$153,382,276 Vol.

No

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Hillary Clinton

$93,307,168 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.
Volume
$3,686,335,059
Date de fin
Nov 5, 2024
Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Democratic Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Democrat for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Democrat before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Democratic Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie wins. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market a Republican Politician is defined as an individual who has held elected office at either the state or federal level (i.e. including but not limited to US Senator, US Representative, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, State Senator, State Representative) and runs as a Republican for the 2024 US Presidential election. If their affiliation changes to Independent or a party other than Republican before election day, the individual will not be considered as a Republican Politician.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated. Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.

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Questions fréquentes

« Presidential Election Winner 2024 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Donald Trump » à 100%, suivi de « Joe Biden » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Presidential Election Winner 2024 » a généré $3.7 billion en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 4, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Presidential Election Winner 2024 », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Presidential Election Winner 2024 » est « Donald Trump » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Joe Biden » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Presidential Election Winner 2024 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.