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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10

Brad Lander 82%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$12,000 Vol.

Brad Lander 82%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$12,000 Vol.

Brad Lander

$5,000 Vol.

82%

Dan Goldman

$2,477 Vol.

18%

Cameron Kasky

$1,595 Vol.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,612 Vol.

<1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$1,317 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds the leading position in trader assessments for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 10th Congressional District, reflecting his strong progressive endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders alongside polling that shows him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by five to nineteen points in recent surveys. Goldman’s substantial personal spending of at least one million dollars and backing from Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries have narrowed but not closed the gap in this left-leaning district where AIPAC-linked support registers unfavorably. Minor candidates including Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou remain far behind in both polling and market pricing. The race hinges on turnout among progressive voters and the impact of last-minute campaign spending before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,000
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander holds the leading position in trader assessments for the June 23 Democratic primary in New York’s 10th Congressional District, reflecting his strong progressive endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Senator Bernie Sanders alongside polling that shows him ahead of incumbent Dan Goldman by five to nineteen points in recent surveys. Goldman’s substantial personal spending of at least one million dollars and backing from Governor Kathy Hochul and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries have narrowed but not closed the gap in this left-leaning district where AIPAC-linked support registers unfavorably. Minor candidates including Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou remain far behind in both polling and market pricing. The race hinges on turnout among progressive voters and the impact of last-minute campaign spending before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,000
Date de fin
23 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Brad Lander » à 82%, suivi de « Dan Goldman » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10 » a généré $12K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10 » est « Brad Lander » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dan Goldman » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire démocrate NY-10 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.