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Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?

Market icon

Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Ended: Dec 31

Dec 31

Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas 100.0%

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC <1%

Albanese - Premier ministre d'Australie <1%

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas 100.0%

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC <1%

Albanese - Premier ministre d'Australie <1%

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC

$497,606 Vol.

Non

Albanese - Premier ministre d'Australie

$344,358 Vol.

Non

Starmer - Premier ministre du Royaume-Uni

$592,504 Vol.

Non

Lecornu - Premier ministre français

$455,733 Vol.

Non

Abbas - Président de la Palestine

$321,890 Vol.

Non

Sheinbaum - Présidente du Mexique

$343,942 Vol.

Non

Rodríguez - Présidente par intérim du Venezuela

$366,538 Vol.

Non

al-Sharaa - Président de la Syrie

$304,285 Vol.

Non

Erdoğan - Président de la Turquie

$339,376 Vol.

Non

Netanyahu - Premier ministre d'Israël

$414,018 Vol.

Non

Trump - Président des États-Unis

$488,512 Vol.

Non

Sánchez - Premier ministre espagnol

$394,413 Vol.

Non

Díaz-Canel - Président de Cuba

$512,977 Vol.

Non

Orbán - Premier ministre de Hongrie

$474,697 Vol.

Non

Macron - Président de la France

$307,992 Vol.

Non

Kim - Dirigeant suprême de la Corée du Nord

$280,352 Vol.

Non

Poutine - Président de la Russie

$358,209 Vol.

Non

Lula da Silva - Président du Brésil

$358,256 Vol.

Non

Petro - Président de la Colombie

$357,077 Vol.

Non

Aucun avant 2027

$357,611 Vol.

Non

Khamenei - Guide suprême de l'Iran

$654,446 Vol.

Non

Newsom - Gouverneur de Californie

$377,923 Vol.

Non

Milei - Président de l'Argentine

$289,683 Vol.

Non

Zelenskyy - Président de l'Ukraine

$472,796 Vol.

Non

Takaichi - Première ministre japonaise

$425,632 Vol.

Non

Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas

$631,090 Vol.

Oui

Merz - Chancelier allemand

$337,307 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,059,224
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas" at 100%, followed by "Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" is "Schoof - Premier ministre des Pays-Bas" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xi - Secrétaire général du PCC" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Prochain leader hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.