Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding lead in recent polls against Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jonathan Kiper, driving trader consensus to 67% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. A March 2026 St. Anselm College survey shows Ayotte ahead of Warmington by seven points (46%-39%), while University of New Hampshire and other polls reflect similar double-digit edges, underscoring her incumbency advantage and GOP strength in New Hampshire gubernatorial races despite the state's Democratic presidential lean. Warmington, the 2024 nominee runner-up, entered the race in February, but her rematch faces historical Republican dominance. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, with filing deadlines in June; race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Likely Republican.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
67%
Démocrate
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Républicain
$0 Vol.
67%
Démocrate
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding lead in recent polls against Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jonathan Kiper, driving trader consensus to 67% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. A March 2026 St. Anselm College survey shows Ayotte ahead of Warmington by seven points (46%-39%), while University of New Hampshire and other polls reflect similar double-digit edges, underscoring her incumbency advantage and GOP strength in New Hampshire gubernatorial races despite the state's Democratic presidential lean. Warmington, the 2024 nominee runner-up, entered the race in February, but her rematch faces historical Republican dominance. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, with filing deadlines in June; race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Likely Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding lead in recent polls against Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jonathan Kiper, driving trader consensus to 67% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. A March 2026 St. Anselm College survey shows Ayotte ahead of Warmington by seven points (46%-39%), while University of New Hampshire and other polls reflect similar double-digit edges, underscoring her incumbency advantage and GOP strength in New Hampshire gubernatorial races despite the state's Democratic presidential lean. Warmington, the 2024 nominee runner-up, entered the race in February, but her rematch faces historical Republican dominance. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, with filing deadlines in June; race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Likely Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte maintains a commanding lead in recent polls against Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jonathan Kiper, driving trader consensus to 67% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election. A March 2026 St. Anselm College survey shows Ayotte ahead of Warmington by seven points (46%-39%), while University of New Hampshire and other polls reflect similar double-digit edges, underscoring her incumbency advantage and GOP strength in New Hampshire gubernatorial races despite the state's Democratic presidential lean. Warmington, the 2024 nominee runner-up, entered the race in February, but her rematch faces historical Republican dominance. Primaries on September 8 could solidify nominees, with filing deadlines in June; race ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball tilt Likely Republican.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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