Market icon

Milton landfall at what category?

Market icon

Milton landfall at what category?

3 99.8%

≤2 <1%

4 <1%

5 <1%

Polymarket

$1,673,043 Vol.

3 99.8%

≤2 <1%

4 <1%

5 <1%

Polymarket

$1,673,043 Vol.

≤2

$482,582 Vol.

No

3

$246,126 Vol.

Yes

4

$384,695 Vol.

No

5

$559,640 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 3 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 3 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 3, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 4 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 4, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 5 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml).

If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No".

If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes".

For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL).

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Volume
$1,673,043
Date de fin
Oct 31, 2024
Marché ouvert
Oct 7, 2024, 12:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 3 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 3 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 3, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 4 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 4, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 5 at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States or dissipates without making such landfall, this market shall resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether this system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.

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Questions fréquentes

« Milton landfall at what category? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3 » à 100%, suivi de « ≤2 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Milton landfall at what category? » a généré $1.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 7, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Milton landfall at what category? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Milton landfall at what category? » est « 3 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ≤2 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Milton landfall at what category? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.