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Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?

Market icon

Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,674 Vol.

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,674 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$34,674
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$34,674
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Nicolás Maduro has left Venezuela for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Maduro may have exited Venezuelan airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Venezuela for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Maduro exits Venezuela maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Maduro left Venezuela, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maduro quitte-t-il le Venezuela d'ici le 31 décembre ?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?" has generated $34.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?" is "Maduro quitte-t-il le Venezuela d'ici le 31 décembre ?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Maduro quitte le Venezuela avant le 31 décembre ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.