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Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Market icon

Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$23,024 Vol.

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$23,024 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is granted asylum or receives de facto asylum in any country on or before December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, qualifying circumstances include both official asylum decisions and de facto asylum situations, in which Maduro flees to another country and is permitted to reside there under that country’s protection for an extended period, regardless of whether a formal asylum decision is publicly announced.

For example, a situation that constitutes de facto asylum under this definition includes former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia in 2014 and has lived there for years under Russian state protection without any official asylum declaration.

This market may resolve as soon as credible reporting establishes that Maduro has fled and is being allowed to reside under a country’s protection for an extended period.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,024
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 12:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is granted asylum or receives de facto asylum in any country on or before December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, qualifying circumstances include both official asylum decisions and de facto asylum situations, in which Maduro flees to another country and is permitted to reside there under that country’s protection for an extended period, regardless of whether a formal asylum decision is publicly announced. For example, a situation that constitutes de facto asylum under this definition includes former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia in 2014 and has lived there for years under Russian state protection without any official asylum declaration. This market may resolve as soon as credible reporting establishes that Maduro has fled and is being allowed to reside under a country’s protection for an extended period. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is granted asylum or receives de facto asylum in any country on or before December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, qualifying circumstances include both official asylum decisions and de facto asylum situations, in which Maduro flees to another country and is permitted to reside there under that country’s protection for an extended period, regardless of whether a formal asylum decision is publicly announced.

For example, a situation that constitutes de facto asylum under this definition includes former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia in 2014 and has lived there for years under Russian state protection without any official asylum declaration.

This market may resolve as soon as credible reporting establishes that Maduro has fled and is being allowed to reside under a country’s protection for an extended period.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,024
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 1, 2025, 12:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is granted asylum or receives de facto asylum in any country on or before December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, qualifying circumstances include both official asylum decisions and de facto asylum situations, in which Maduro flees to another country and is permitted to reside there under that country’s protection for an extended period, regardless of whether a formal asylum decision is publicly announced. For example, a situation that constitutes de facto asylum under this definition includes former Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, who fled to Russia in 2014 and has lived there for years under Russian state protection without any official asylum declaration. This market may resolve as soon as credible reporting establishes that Maduro has fled and is being allowed to reside under a country’s protection for an extended period. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maduro reçoit-il l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" is "Maduro reçoit-il l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Maduro reçoit l'asile d'ici le 31 décembre ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.