Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the ad tech firm's repeated delays amid a brutal software sector selloff earlier this year. After filing an S-1 in January targeting a $5.2 billion valuation and postponing pricing in early February, Blackstone-backed Liftoff withdrew its registration on February 17—only to confidentially refile hours later—reflecting caution over volatile tech markets hammering peer valuations. With no public updates, roadshow announcements, or SEC effectiveness since mid-February and the March 31 deadline looming, traders see negligible path to completion. A surprise pricing acceleration or abrupt market rebound could challenge this, though historical IPO timelines in ad tech suggest otherwise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLiftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap
Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026 99.8%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$ 3.9%
<4,25 Md$ <1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$ <1%
$32,773 Vol.
$32,773 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
<4,25 Md$
1%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$
<1%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$
4%
4,75 Md$–5,00 Md$
<1%
5,00 Md$–5,25 Md$
<1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$
1%
5,50 Mds $+
<1%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026
100%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026 99.8%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$ 3.9%
<4,25 Md$ <1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$ <1%
$32,773 Vol.
$32,773 Vol.
Feb 6, 2026
<4,25 Md$
$0 Vol.
1%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$
$0 Vol.
<1%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$
$0 Vol.
4%
4,75 Md$–5,00 Md$
$0 Vol.
<1%
5,00 Md$–5,25 Md$
$0 Vol.
<1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$
$0 Vol.
1%
5,50 Mds $+
$0 Vol.
<1%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026
$32,773 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the ad tech firm's repeated delays amid a brutal software sector selloff earlier this year. After filing an S-1 in January targeting a $5.2 billion valuation and postponing pricing in early February, Blackstone-backed Liftoff withdrew its registration on February 17—only to confidentially refile hours later—reflecting caution over volatile tech markets hammering peer valuations. With no public updates, roadshow announcements, or SEC effectiveness since mid-February and the March 31 deadline looming, traders see negligible path to completion. A surprise pricing acceleration or abrupt market rebound could challenge this, though historical IPO timelines in ad tech suggest otherwise.
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Volume
$32,773Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the ad tech firm's repeated delays amid a brutal software sector selloff earlier this year. After filing an S-1 in January targeting a $5.2 billion valuation and postponing pricing in early February, Blackstone-backed Liftoff withdrew its registration on February 17—only to confidentially refile hours later—reflecting caution over volatile tech markets hammering peer valuations. With no public updates, roadshow announcements, or SEC effectiveness since mid-February and the March 31 deadline looming, traders see negligible path to completion. A surprise pricing acceleration or abrupt market rebound could challenge this, though historical IPO timelines in ad tech suggest otherwise.
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$32,773Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026 at 99.8% implied probability, driven by the ad tech firm's repeated delays amid a brutal software sector selloff earlier this year. After filing an S-1 in January targeting a $5.2 billion valuation and postponing pricing in early February, Blackstone-backed Liftoff withdrew its registration on February 17—only to confidentially refile hours later—reflecting caution over volatile tech markets hammering peer valuations. With no public updates, roadshow announcements, or SEC effectiveness since mid-February and the March 31 deadline looming, traders see negligible path to completion. A surprise pricing acceleration or abrupt market rebound could challenge this, though historical IPO timelines in ad tech suggest otherwise.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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