Market icon
Politique·Israël

Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

Market icon
Politique·Israël

Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$198,429 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$198,429 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries.

If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$198,429
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024
Marché ouvert
Oct 18, 2024, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries.

If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$198,429
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2024
Marché ouvert
Oct 18, 2024, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the governments of Israel and Iran both officially announce an armistice, ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement between the two countries that will go into effect by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of a pause in the Israel-Iran military conflict, and be declared through official channels by both countries. If only one country (e.g. only Israel, or only Iran) officially announces an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement, it will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and the Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 0% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 0¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? » a généré $198.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 18, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? » est de 0% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Israel x Iran peace deal in 2024? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.