Recent Israeli airstrikes on December 26 targeted two Houthi underground missile storage and launch facilities in Yemen, retaliating against the group's ballistic missile attacks on Israel, including one intercepted over central Israel days earlier. The Iran-backed Houthis have sustained their campaign of solidarity with Gaza militants, firing over a dozen projectiles at Israel in recent weeks while disrupting Red Sea shipping, prompting parallel US coalition strikes. No de-escalation or ceasefire talks are underway, with Houthi vows of intensified retaliation. Traders monitor potential further Israeli preemptive actions, Houthi escalation signals, or US diplomatic interventions ahead of the market's resolution window, amid ongoing regional tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAction militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
Action militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
$708,251 Vol.
31 mars
63%
30 avril
75%
30 juin
81%
31 mai
79%
$708,251 Vol.
31 mars
63%
30 avril
75%
30 juin
81%
31 mai
79%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 18, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Israeli airstrikes on December 26 targeted two Houthi underground missile storage and launch facilities in Yemen, retaliating against the group's ballistic missile attacks on Israel, including one intercepted over central Israel days earlier. The Iran-backed Houthis have sustained their campaign of solidarity with Gaza militants, firing over a dozen projectiles at Israel in recent weeks while disrupting Red Sea shipping, prompting parallel US coalition strikes. No de-escalation or ceasefire talks are underway, with Houthi vows of intensified retaliation. Traders monitor potential further Israeli preemptive actions, Houthi escalation signals, or US diplomatic interventions ahead of the market's resolution window, amid ongoing regional tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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