Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural operation in the month-long Israel-Iran war—targeting sensitive military sites and prompting interception by Israeli defenses. This escalation opens a new front, with Houthis vowing to block the Bab al-Mandeb strait and resume Red Sea shipping attacks unless Israel halts operations against Iran, raising global trade disruption fears. Israel has not yet retaliated with strikes on Yemen, but prior U.S. warnings of targeting Houthi leaders signal heightened risks of airstrikes or joint military action. Traders monitor for imminent Israeli responses amid ongoing regional hostilities, with no confirmed de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourAction militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
Action militaire d'Israël contre le Yémen par... ?
$1,014,754 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 mars
16%
30 avril
78%
30 juin
91%
31 mai
85%
$1,014,754 Vol.
31 mars
$570,207 Vol.
16%
30 avril
$40,322 Vol.
78%
30 juin
$369,168 Vol.
91%
31 mai
$35,081 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural operation in the month-long Israel-Iran war—targeting sensitive military sites and prompting interception by Israeli defenses. This escalation opens a new front, with Houthis vowing to block the Bab al-Mandeb strait and resume Red Sea shipping attacks unless Israel halts operations against Iran, raising global trade disruption fears. Israel has not yet retaliated with strikes on Yemen, but prior U.S. warnings of targeting Houthi leaders signal heightened risks of airstrikes or joint military action. Traders monitor for imminent Israeli responses amid ongoing regional hostilities, with no confirmed de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Volume
$1,014,754Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural operation in the month-long Israel-Iran war—targeting sensitive military sites and prompting interception by Israeli defenses. This escalation opens a new front, with Houthis vowing to block the Bab al-Mandeb strait and resume Red Sea shipping attacks unless Israel halts operations against Iran, raising global trade disruption fears. Israel has not yet retaliated with strikes on Yemen, but prior U.S. warnings of targeting Houthi leaders signal heightened risks of airstrikes or joint military action. Traders monitor for imminent Israeli responses amid ongoing regional hostilities, with no confirmed de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,014,754Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 11:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched their first direct ballistic missile attack on Israel on March 28, 2026—their inaugural operation in the month-long Israel-Iran war—targeting sensitive military sites and prompting interception by Israeli defenses. This escalation opens a new front, with Houthis vowing to block the Bab al-Mandeb strait and resume Red Sea shipping attacks unless Israel halts operations against Iran, raising global trade disruption fears. Israel has not yet retaliated with strikes on Yemen, but prior U.S. warnings of targeting Houthi leaders signal heightened risks of airstrikes or joint military action. Traders monitor for imminent Israeli responses amid ongoing regional hostilities, with no confirmed de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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