The US-Israel-Iran conflict, entering its 30th day as of late March 2026, remains active amid ongoing missile barrages and airstrikes, with Iran's latest attack yesterday targeting an industrial zone near Beersheba in southern Israel, prompting sirens nationwide and USS Tripoli's deployment of 3,500 troops. US and Israeli forces have degraded two-thirds of Iran's missile production, naval assets, and air capabilities since initial strikes on March 1 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and hit Tehran infrastructure. Diplomatic efforts intensify, as President Trump extends deadlines for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and his envoy signals potential talks this week, though Iran has rejected US ceasefire proposals while submitting counters. Traders weigh sustained escalation against fragile negotiation prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIran x Le conflit israélo-américain se termine d'ici... ?
Iran x Le conflit israélo-américain se termine d'ici... ?
$8,496,166 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
31 mars
1%
15 avril
15%
7 avril
4%
30 avril
26%
15 mai
38%
30 juin
63%
31 décembre
80%
$8,496,166 Vol.
31 mars
$4,354,589 Vol.
1%
15 avril
$963,793 Vol.
15%
7 avril
$144,558 Vol.
4%
30 avril
$732,016 Vol.
26%
15 mai
$1,221,285 Vol.
38%
30 juin
$850,442 Vol.
63%
31 décembre
$229,599 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, entering its 30th day as of late March 2026, remains active amid ongoing missile barrages and airstrikes, with Iran's latest attack yesterday targeting an industrial zone near Beersheba in southern Israel, prompting sirens nationwide and USS Tripoli's deployment of 3,500 troops. US and Israeli forces have degraded two-thirds of Iran's missile production, naval assets, and air capabilities since initial strikes on March 1 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and hit Tehran infrastructure. Diplomatic efforts intensify, as President Trump extends deadlines for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and his envoy signals potential talks this week, though Iran has rejected US ceasefire proposals while submitting counters. Traders weigh sustained escalation against fragile negotiation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ET
Volume
$8,496,166Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, entering its 30th day as of late March 2026, remains active amid ongoing missile barrages and airstrikes, with Iran's latest attack yesterday targeting an industrial zone near Beersheba in southern Israel, prompting sirens nationwide and USS Tripoli's deployment of 3,500 troops. US and Israeli forces have degraded two-thirds of Iran's missile production, naval assets, and air capabilities since initial strikes on March 1 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and hit Tehran infrastructure. Diplomatic efforts intensify, as President Trump extends deadlines for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and his envoy signals potential talks this week, though Iran has rejected US ceasefire proposals while submitting counters. Traders weigh sustained escalation against fragile negotiation prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Volume
$8,496,166Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 9:37 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US-Israel-Iran conflict, entering its 30th day as of late March 2026, remains active amid ongoing missile barrages and airstrikes, with Iran's latest attack yesterday targeting an industrial zone near Beersheba in southern Israel, prompting sirens nationwide and USS Tripoli's deployment of 3,500 troops. US and Israeli forces have degraded two-thirds of Iran's missile production, naval assets, and air capabilities since initial strikes on March 1 that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei and hit Tehran infrastructure. Diplomatic efforts intensify, as President Trump extends deadlines for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and his envoy signals potential talks this week, though Iran has rejected US ceasefire proposals while submitting counters. Traders weigh sustained escalation against fragile negotiation prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes