Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJuin 34%
Juillet 12.4%
Novembre 9.4%
Septembre 8.3%
Mars
1%
Avril
9%
Mai
6%
Juin
34%
Juillet
12%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
12%
Juin 34%
Juillet 12.4%
Novembre 9.4%
Septembre 8.3%
Mars
1%
Avril
9%
Mai
6%
Juin
34%
Juillet
12%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a June SpaceX IPO at the highest implied probability of 33.5%, reflecting speculation around accelerating Starship test milestones and Starlink's subscriber surge that recently valued the company above $200 billion in secondary tenders. This edges out July (12.4%) and a 12.6% chance of no IPO before 2027, highlighting fragmented sentiment amid Elon Musk's repeated insistence on delaying public listing until reliable Mars transport. Near-term months like June through September derive lift from potential Starlink spin-off liquidity, while later odds hinge on regulatory approvals and valuation peaks; traders eye next Starship flights as pivotal catalysts in this wide-open field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes