Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 35% implied probability to a June SpaceX IPO, fueled by the company's blockbuster $350 billion private valuation from a December tender offer and accelerating Starship test successes that bolster revenue projections from Starlink and NASA contracts. This edges out September (10.8%) and November (9.3%), likely tied to fiscal year-end liquidity needs and potential regulatory clearances, while 12.5% odds on no IPO before 2027 reflect Elon Musk's firm stance delaying public listing until operational stability for Mars missions. Absent an S-1 filing, these market-implied odds hinge on capital demands amid private funding abundance, with uncertainty amplified by zero confirmed timelines from SpaceX leadership.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJuin 35%
Juillet 8.4%
Septembre 8.3%
Mai 6.2%
$63,505 Vol.
$63,505 Vol.
Mars
1%
Avril
9%
Mai
6%
Juin
35%
Juillet
8%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
12%
Juin 35%
Juillet 8.4%
Septembre 8.3%
Mai 6.2%
$63,505 Vol.
$63,505 Vol.
Mars
1%
Avril
9%
Mai
6%
Juin
35%
Juillet
8%
Août
8%
Septembre
11%
Octobre
4%
Novembre
9%
Décembre
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2027
12%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Marché ouvert : Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 35% implied probability to a June SpaceX IPO, fueled by the company's blockbuster $350 billion private valuation from a December tender offer and accelerating Starship test successes that bolster revenue projections from Starlink and NASA contracts. This edges out September (10.8%) and November (9.3%), likely tied to fiscal year-end liquidity needs and potential regulatory clearances, while 12.5% odds on no IPO before 2027 reflect Elon Musk's firm stance delaying public listing until operational stability for Mars missions. Absent an S-1 filing, these market-implied odds hinge on capital demands amid private funding abundance, with uncertainty amplified by zero confirmed timelines from SpaceX leadership.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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