Illinois voters will select a successor to retiring longtime Senator Dick Durbin on November 3, 2026, and trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee because the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2010 and maintains consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with support from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, defeating Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi after a late surge in momentum and fundraising. She faces former Republican Party chair Don Tracy in the general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting voter registration edges, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in key population centers. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current probability distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$24,938 Vol.
$24,938 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
94%
Républicain
4%
$24,938 Vol.
$24,938 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$12,804 Vol.
94%
Républicain
$12,133 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will select a successor to retiring longtime Senator Dick Durbin on November 3, 2026, and trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee because the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2010 and maintains consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with support from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, defeating Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi after a late surge in momentum and fundraising. She faces former Republican Party chair Don Tracy in the general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting voter registration edges, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in key population centers. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current probability distribution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$24,938Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will select a successor to retiring longtime Senator Dick Durbin on November 3, 2026, and trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee because the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2010 and maintains consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with support from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, defeating Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi after a late surge in momentum and fundraising. She faces former Republican Party chair Don Tracy in the general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting voter registration edges, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in key population centers. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current probability distribution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,938Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois voters will select a successor to retiring longtime Senator Dick Durbin on November 3, 2026, and trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee because the state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2010 and maintains consistent Democratic advantages in statewide contests. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with support from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, defeating Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi after a late surge in momentum and fundraising. She faces former Republican Party chair Don Tracy in the general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting voter registration edges, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure in key population centers. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the current probability distribution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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