Market icon

Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ?

Market icon

Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ?

12 ou plus 100.0%

≤6 <1%

7 <1%

8 <1%

Polymarket

$5,967 Vol.

12 ou plus 100.0%

≤6 <1%

7 <1%

8 <1%

Polymarket

$5,967 Vol.

≤6

$0 Vol.

Non

7

$0 Vol.

Non

8

$0 Vol.

Non

9

$0 Vol.

Non

10

$5,967 Vol.

Non

11

$0 Vol.

Non

12 ou plus

$0 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$5,967
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between March 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

SpaceX's unprecedented launch cadence, with reusable Falcon 9 rockets enabling near-weekly Starlink missions, drives near-certain trader odds for 12 or more launches in March, as telemetry tracking and official manifests confirm 11 successes already midway through the month and at least two more windowed before March 31. Peer-reviewed aerospace analyses and FAA data underscore booster turnaround times averaging under 30 days, boosting reliability to over 98% success rates historically. Favorable NOAA weather outlooks minimize scrub risks, while orbital slotting constraints favor density. Realistic challenges include upper-stage anomalies, as in rare RUD events, or unexpected FAA ground holds, though precedent suggests minimal impact on monthly totals.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 12 ou plus » à 100%, suivi de « ≤6 » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Feb 27, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ? » est « 12 ou plus » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ≤6 » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien de lancements SpaceX en mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.