Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability of President Trump signing exactly 5 pieces of legislation in March, driven by the Republican trifecta's control of the House and Senate enabling swift advancement of his border security, energy permitting, and spending priorities ahead of the March 14 government funding deadline under the current continuing resolution. Recent House passage of a rules package on January 3 streamlines floor votes, while Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Thune have coordinated on 4-6 targeted bills, elevating 4 (28%) as the runner-up. Odds drop for 8+ (15%) due to competing confirmation hearings, debt ceiling negotiations potentially bundling into omnibus packages, and reconciliation timelines delaying larger tax reforms, underscoring a focused but constrained first-month legislative pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour5 51.6%
4 27%
3 11.0%
8+ 4.6%
$18,103 Vol.
$18,103 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
1%
1
7%
2
9%
3
9%
4
27%
5
52%
6
4%
7
4%
8+
15%
5 51.6%
4 27%
3 11.0%
8+ 4.6%
$18,103 Vol.
$18,103 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
0
$3,180 Vol.
1%
1
$1,047 Vol.
7%
2
$6,050 Vol.
9%
3
$1,446 Vol.
9%
4
$1,370 Vol.
27%
5
$3,031 Vol.
52%
6
$1,978 Vol.
4%
7
$0 Vol.
4%
8+
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability of President Trump signing exactly 5 pieces of legislation in March, driven by the Republican trifecta's control of the House and Senate enabling swift advancement of his border security, energy permitting, and spending priorities ahead of the March 14 government funding deadline under the current continuing resolution. Recent House passage of a rules package on January 3 streamlines floor votes, while Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Thune have coordinated on 4-6 targeted bills, elevating 4 (28%) as the runner-up. Odds drop for 8+ (15%) due to competing confirmation hearings, debt ceiling negotiations potentially bundling into omnibus packages, and reconciliation timelines delaying larger tax reforms, underscoring a focused but constrained first-month legislative pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Volume
$18,103Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability of President Trump signing exactly 5 pieces of legislation in March, driven by the Republican trifecta's control of the House and Senate enabling swift advancement of his border security, energy permitting, and spending priorities ahead of the March 14 government funding deadline under the current continuing resolution. Recent House passage of a rules package on January 3 streamlines floor votes, while Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Thune have coordinated on 4-6 targeted bills, elevating 4 (28%) as the runner-up. Odds drop for 8+ (15%) due to competing confirmation hearings, debt ceiling negotiations potentially bundling into omnibus packages, and reconciliation timelines delaying larger tax reforms, underscoring a focused but constrained first-month legislative pace.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,103Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 52% probability of President Trump signing exactly 5 pieces of legislation in March, driven by the Republican trifecta's control of the House and Senate enabling swift advancement of his border security, energy permitting, and spending priorities ahead of the March 14 government funding deadline under the current continuing resolution. Recent House passage of a rules package on January 3 streamlines floor votes, while Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader Thune have coordinated on 4-6 targeted bills, elevating 4 (28%) as the runner-up. Odds drop for 8+ (15%) due to competing confirmation hearings, debt ceiling negotiations potentially bundling into omnibus packages, and reconciliation timelines delaying larger tax reforms, underscoring a focused but constrained first-month legislative pace.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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