Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting no official DHS or USCIS reports of issuances since the program's December 2025 launch, when about 1,300 units generated $1.3 billion amid early hype. A March 6 Barron's report highlighted an estimated 70,000 applicants but slow uptake due to the $1 million gift requirement—plus $15,000 processing fee—versus cheaper EB-5 alternatives, alongside processing delays from rigorous background checks. A February 2026 lawsuit by visa advocates challenges the executive order's legality, alleging it bypasses Congress and prioritizes wealthy applicants over EB-1/EB-2 queues, with a government response due soon. These hurdles position low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (17.8%) as next likely, pending resolution amid immigration policy uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCombien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?
Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?
0 42%
1-100 17.7%
25k-100k 8.4%
10k-25k 7.0%
$131,505 Vol.
$131,505 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
0
42%
1-100
18%
101-1 000
4%
1 000 à 2 500
6%
2,5k-5k
5%
5k-10k
6%
10k-25k
7%
25k-100k
8%
>100k
6%
0 42%
1-100 17.7%
25k-100k 8.4%
10k-25k 7.0%
$131,505 Vol.
$131,505 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
0
$26,234 Vol.
42%
1-100
$10,427 Vol.
18%
101-1 000
$5,023 Vol.
4%
1 000 à 2 500
$7,518 Vol.
6%
2,5k-5k
$4,442 Vol.
5%
5k-10k
$4,877 Vol.
6%
10k-25k
$54,369 Vol.
7%
25k-100k
$4,367 Vol.
8%
>100k
$14,247 Vol.
6%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting no official DHS or USCIS reports of issuances since the program's December 2025 launch, when about 1,300 units generated $1.3 billion amid early hype. A March 6 Barron's report highlighted an estimated 70,000 applicants but slow uptake due to the $1 million gift requirement—plus $15,000 processing fee—versus cheaper EB-5 alternatives, alongside processing delays from rigorous background checks. A February 2026 lawsuit by visa advocates challenges the executive order's legality, alleging it bypasses Congress and prioritizes wealthy applicants over EB-1/EB-2 queues, with a government response due soon. These hurdles position low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (17.8%) as next likely, pending resolution amid immigration policy uncertainties.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$131,505Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting no official DHS or USCIS reports of issuances since the program's December 2025 launch, when about 1,300 units generated $1.3 billion amid early hype. A March 6 Barron's report highlighted an estimated 70,000 applicants but slow uptake due to the $1 million gift requirement—plus $15,000 processing fee—versus cheaper EB-5 alternatives, alongside processing delays from rigorous background checks. A February 2026 lawsuit by visa advocates challenges the executive order's legality, alleging it bypasses Congress and prioritizes wealthy applicants over EB-1/EB-2 queues, with a government response due soon. These hurdles position low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (17.8%) as next likely, pending resolution amid immigration policy uncertainties.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$131,505Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 41.5%, reflecting no official DHS or USCIS reports of issuances since the program's December 2025 launch, when about 1,300 units generated $1.3 billion amid early hype. A March 6 Barron's report highlighted an estimated 70,000 applicants but slow uptake due to the $1 million gift requirement—plus $15,000 processing fee—versus cheaper EB-5 alternatives, alongside processing delays from rigorous background checks. A February 2026 lawsuit by visa advocates challenges the executive order's legality, alleging it bypasses Congress and prioritizes wealthy applicants over EB-1/EB-2 queues, with a government response due soon. These hurdles position low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (17.8%) as next likely, pending resolution amid immigration policy uncertainties.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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