Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 reaching 22°C or higher at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution station via Weather Underground data. Real-time observations confirm peak readings have already surpassed 23°C under hazy sunshine, light southeasterly winds, and high solar insolation, exceeding late-March climatological averages of 18–20°C. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS converged on 23–24°C highs days ahead, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection over central China. With the diurnal peak passed, revision risks are negligible barring rare station data anomalies; final records expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,317 Vol.
$81,317 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
18°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
22°C or higher
100%
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,317 Vol.
$81,317 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
18°C
$6,085 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$9,962 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$6,739 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 reaching 22°C or higher at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution station via Weather Underground data. Real-time observations confirm peak readings have already surpassed 23°C under hazy sunshine, light southeasterly winds, and high solar insolation, exceeding late-March climatological averages of 18–20°C. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS converged on 23–24°C highs days ahead, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection over central China. With the diurnal peak passed, revision risks are negligible barring rare station data anomalies; final records expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Volume
$81,317Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 reaching 22°C or higher at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution station via Weather Underground data. Real-time observations confirm peak readings have already surpassed 23°C under hazy sunshine, light southeasterly winds, and high solar insolation, exceeding late-March climatological averages of 18–20°C. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS converged on 23–24°C highs days ahead, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection over central China. With the diurnal peak passed, revision risks are negligible barring rare station data anomalies; final records expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$81,317Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on March 28 reaching 22°C or higher at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution station via Weather Underground data. Real-time observations confirm peak readings have already surpassed 23°C under hazy sunshine, light southeasterly winds, and high solar insolation, exceeding late-March climatological averages of 18–20°C. Ensemble forecast models from ECMWF and GFS converged on 23–24°C highs days ahead, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection over central China. With the diurnal peak passed, revision risks are negligible barring rare station data anomalies; final records expected within 24 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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