MetService's latest forecast points to a high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 under cloudy skies with northerlies and areas of drizzle clearing briefly in the afternoon before returning, driving trader consensus toward 19°C (28.5%) and 20°C (32%) as the top outcomes.[[1]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington/extended)[[2]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington) Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS average 19.5°C with a 1–2°C spread, stemming from uncertainties in cloud persistence, northerly wind strengthening (which advects warmer air masses), and coastal sea breeze moderation that could cap or boost peaks.[[3]](https://polymarket.com/pt/event/highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-29-2026/highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-29-2026-20c) Following severe weather March 25–26, recent highs of 22°C (March 27) and 20°C (March 28) reflect mild northerly flow amid above-average sea surface temperatures, consistent with late-March climatology around 20°C. New MetService updates and Wellington Airport observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.[[4]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington/7-days)
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on March 29?
20°C 32%
19°C 29%
18°C 19%
21°C 11%
$119,262 Vol.
$119,262 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
29%
20°C
32%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
20°C 32%
19°C 29%
18°C 19%
21°C 11%
$119,262 Vol.
$119,262 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
29%
20°C
32%
21°C
11%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast points to a high of 19°C in Wellington on March 29 under cloudy skies with northerlies and areas of drizzle clearing briefly in the afternoon before returning, driving trader consensus toward 19°C (28.5%) and 20°C (32%) as the top outcomes.[[1]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington/extended)[[2]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington) Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS average 19.5°C with a 1–2°C spread, stemming from uncertainties in cloud persistence, northerly wind strengthening (which advects warmer air masses), and coastal sea breeze moderation that could cap or boost peaks.[[3]](https://polymarket.com/pt/event/highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-29-2026/highest-temperature-in-wellington-on-march-29-2026-20c) Following severe weather March 25–26, recent highs of 22°C (March 27) and 20°C (March 28) reflect mild northerly flow amid above-average sea surface temperatures, consistent with late-March climatology around 20°C. New MetService updates and Wellington Airport observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.[[4]](https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/regions/wellington/locations/wellington/7-days)
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes