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Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 49%

10°C 22%

12°C 15%

9°C 4.9%

Polymarket

$35,396 Vol.

11°C 49%

10°C 22%

12°C 15%

9°C 4.9%

Polymarket

$35,396 Vol.

6°C

$5,876 Vol.

<1%

7°C

$1,702 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$3,324 Vol.

1%

9°C

$2,954 Vol.

5%

10°C

$2,826 Vol.

22%

11°C

$2,871 Vol.

49%

12°C

$2,425 Vol.

15%

13°C

$2,877 Vol.

2%

14°C

$3,620 Vol.

1%

15°C or higher

$4,331 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Warsaw high of 11°C on March 27 at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime maximums of 10-12°C under persistent mild southerly airflow across Central Europe. Recent observations show Warsaw reaching 12°C on March 25 amid above-seasonal norms, with slight cooling forecast but no disruptive cold fronts per Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance. Model spreads remain tight at ±1-2°C due to stable jet stream positioning, contrasting historical March averages of 9°C; cloud cover variability adds minor uncertainty. Updated 12Z runs expected within hours could shift odds further as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,396
Date de fin
Mar 27, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Warsaw high of 11°C on March 27 at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime maximums of 10-12°C under persistent mild southerly airflow across Central Europe. Recent observations show Warsaw reaching 12°C on March 25 amid above-seasonal norms, with slight cooling forecast but no disruptive cold fronts per Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance. Model spreads remain tight at ±1-2°C due to stable jet stream positioning, contrasting historical March averages of 9°C; cloud cover variability adds minor uncertainty. Updated 12Z runs expected within hours could shift odds further as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a Warsaw high of 11°C on March 27 at 48.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on daytime maximums of 10-12°C under persistent mild southerly airflow across Central Europe. Recent observations show Warsaw reaching 12°C on March 25 amid above-seasonal norms, with slight cooling forecast but no disruptive cold fronts per Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance. Model spreads remain tight at ±1-2°C due to stable jet stream positioning, contrasting historical March averages of 9°C; cloud cover variability adds minor uncertainty. Updated 12Z runs expected within hours could shift odds further as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 11°C » à 49%, suivi de « 10°C » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27? » a généré $35.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27? » est « 11°C » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10°C » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 27? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.