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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 28

Mar 29

23°C 25%

25°C 24%

24°C 23%

22°C or below 14.5%

Polymarket

$177,153 Vol.

23°C 25%

25°C 24%

24°C 23%

22°C or below 14.5%

Polymarket

$177,153 Vol.

22°C or below

$4,521 Vol.

15%

23°C

$3,621 Vol.

25%

24°C

$2,460 Vol.

23%

25°C

$2,378 Vol.

24%

26°C

$2,176 Vol.

8%

27°C

$2,953 Vol.

7%

28°C

$3,041 Vol.

2%

29°C

$6,192 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,808 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$1,825 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$146,304 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 projects a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with just 10% chance of precipitation, driving trader consensus toward 23–25°C outcomes at 23–25.5% implied probabilities amid model ensemble clustering in the mid-20s. This tight spread reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent during peak solar insolation hours (noon–3 p.m.), which could suppress highs below 24°C if thicker clouds persist, or allow urban heat island effects to push toward 25–26°C with more breaks in cover. Above-average warmth stems from weak easterly winds limiting cooler northeasterly inflow, contrasting March historical averages near 22–23°C; expect refined hourly updates from CWA today to potentially shift odds further.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 projects a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with just 10% chance of precipitation, driving trader consensus toward 23–25°C outcomes at 23–25.5% implied probabilities amid model ensemble clustering in the mid-20s. This tight spread reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent during peak solar insolation hours (noon–3 p.m.), which could suppress highs below 24°C if thicker clouds persist, or allow urban heat island effects to push toward 25–26°C with more breaks in cover. Above-average warmth stems from weak easterly winds limiting cooler northeasterly inflow, contrasting March historical averages near 22–23°C; expect refined hourly updates from CWA today to potentially shift odds further.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 projects a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with just 10% chance of precipitation, driving trader consensus toward 23–25°C outcomes at 23–25.5% implied probabilities amid model ensemble clustering in the mid-20s. This tight spread reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent during peak solar insolation hours (noon–3 p.m.), which could suppress highs below 24°C if thicker clouds persist, or allow urban heat island effects to push toward 25–26°C with more breaks in cover. Above-average warmth stems from weak easterly winds limiting cooler northeasterly inflow, contrasting March historical averages near 22–23°C; expect refined hourly updates from CWA today to potentially shift odds further.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 projects a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with just 10% chance of precipitation, driving trader consensus toward 23–25°C outcomes at 23–25.5% implied probabilities amid model ensemble clustering in the mid-20s. This tight spread reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent during peak solar insolation hours (noon–3 p.m.), which could suppress highs below 24°C if thicker clouds persist, or allow urban heat island effects to push toward 25–26°C with more breaks in cover. Above-average warmth stems from weak easterly winds limiting cooler northeasterly inflow, contrasting March historical averages near 22–23°C; expect refined hourly updates from CWA today to potentially shift odds further.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 23°C » à 25%, suivi de « 25°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 25¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » a généré $177.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » est « 23°C » à 25%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 25°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.