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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 2

22°C or below 100.0%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$266,681 Vol.

22°C or below 100.0%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$266,681 Vol.

22°C or below

$25,081 Vol.

100%

23°C

$14,227 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$10,892 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$12,284 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$11,180 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$10,903 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$7,693 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$12,584 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$6,161 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$5,211 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$150,464 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 22°C or below, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a passing frontal system. Cooler northerly flows and high humidity over the past 24 hours limited solar insolation, preventing the daytime heating projected in earlier 20-27°C forecasts, consistent with late March climatological norms where highs average 21-23°C at key stations like Songshan or Taoyuan. While official data carries high reliability, a rare post hoc revision from automated sensors—such as an unverified spike amid brief clearing—could challenge this, though model consensus and evening cooldowns make it improbable; final CWA daily summaries expected soon will resolve the market.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 22°C or below, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a passing frontal system. Cooler northerly flows and high humidity over the past 24 hours limited solar insolation, preventing the daytime heating projected in earlier 20-27°C forecasts, consistent with late March climatological norms where highs average 21-23°C at key stations like Songshan or Taoyuan. While official data carries high reliability, a rare post hoc revision from automated sensors—such as an unverified spike amid brief clearing—could challenge this, though model consensus and evening cooldowns make it improbable; final CWA daily summaries expected soon will resolve the market.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 22°C or below, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a passing frontal system. Cooler northerly flows and high humidity over the past 24 hours limited solar insolation, preventing the daytime heating projected in earlier 20-27°C forecasts, consistent with late March climatological norms where highs average 21-23°C at key stations like Songshan or Taoyuan. While official data carries high reliability, a rare post hoc revision from automated sensors—such as an unverified spike amid brief clearing—could challenge this, though model consensus and evening cooldowns make it improbable; final CWA daily summaries expected soon will resolve the market.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations confirm Taipei's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at 22°C or below, driving Polymarket traders to a near-unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a passing frontal system. Cooler northerly flows and high humidity over the past 24 hours limited solar insolation, preventing the daytime heating projected in earlier 20-27°C forecasts, consistent with late March climatological norms where highs average 21-23°C at key stations like Songshan or Taoyuan. While official data carries high reliability, a rare post hoc revision from automated sensors—such as an unverified spike amid brief clearing—could challenge this, though model consensus and evening cooldowns make it improbable; final CWA daily summaries expected soon will resolve the market.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 22°C or below » à 100%, suivi de « 23°C » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » a généré $266.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » est « 22°C or below » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 23°C » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.