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Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on March 30?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 31

Apr 1

66-67°F 33%

64-65°F 32%

68°F or higher 23%

62-63°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,319 Vol.

66-67°F 33%

64-65°F 32%

68°F or higher 23%

62-63°F 13%

Polymarket
NEW

$14,319 Vol.

49°F or below

$809 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$927 Vol.

<1%

52-53°F

$952 Vol.

<1%

54-55°F

$905 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$789 Vol.

1%

58-59°F

$1,871 Vol.

2%

60-61°F

$1,896 Vol.

4%

62-63°F

$2,040 Vol.

13%

64-65°F

$1,637 Vol.

32%

66-67°F

$877 Vol.

33%

68°F or higher

$1,637 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast models for New York City's Central Park Observatory high temperature today, with overnight GFS runs favoring 68°F or higher through enhanced afternoon boundary layer mixing and sparser cloud cover, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler toward the mid-60s amid lingering partial cloudiness. Above-normal warmth stems from southwesterly flow ushering in milder air masses post recent cold snap (highs near 44°F on March 26), under high pressure promoting dry conditions and peak insolation potential around 2-4 PM EDT. Differentiation hinges on actual cloud evolution and sustained winds above 10 mph for vertical mixing; new hourly observations and late-day model updates could sharpen odds before resolution based on official NOAA maximum. Historical late-March normals hover near 55°F, underscoring the setup's mild bias.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast models for New York City's Central Park Observatory high temperature today, with overnight GFS runs favoring 68°F or higher through enhanced afternoon boundary layer mixing and sparser cloud cover, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler toward the mid-60s amid lingering partial cloudiness. Above-normal warmth stems from southwesterly flow ushering in milder air masses post recent cold snap (highs near 44°F on March 26), under high pressure promoting dry conditions and peak insolation potential around 2-4 PM EDT. Differentiation hinges on actual cloud evolution and sustained winds above 10 mph for vertical mixing; new hourly observations and late-day model updates could sharpen odds before resolution based on official NOAA maximum. Historical late-March normals hover near 55°F, underscoring the setup's mild bias.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast models for New York City's Central Park Observatory high temperature today, with overnight GFS runs favoring 68°F or higher through enhanced afternoon boundary layer mixing and sparser cloud cover, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler toward the mid-60s amid lingering partial cloudiness. Above-normal warmth stems from southwesterly flow ushering in milder air masses post recent cold snap (highs near 44°F on March 26), under high pressure promoting dry conditions and peak insolation potential around 2-4 PM EDT. Differentiation hinges on actual cloud evolution and sustained winds above 10 mph for vertical mixing; new hourly observations and late-day model updates could sharpen odds before resolution based on official NOAA maximum. Historical late-March normals hover near 55°F, underscoring the setup's mild bias.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecast models for New York City's Central Park Observatory high temperature today, with overnight GFS runs favoring 68°F or higher through enhanced afternoon boundary layer mixing and sparser cloud cover, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler toward the mid-60s amid lingering partial cloudiness. Above-normal warmth stems from southwesterly flow ushering in milder air masses post recent cold snap (highs near 44°F on March 26), under high pressure promoting dry conditions and peak insolation potential around 2-4 PM EDT. Differentiation hinges on actual cloud evolution and sustained winds above 10 mph for vertical mixing; new hourly observations and late-day model updates could sharpen odds before resolution based on official NOAA maximum. Historical late-March normals hover near 55°F, underscoring the setup's mild bias.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 64-65°F » à 33%, suivi de « 66-67°F » à 33%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? » a généré $14.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? » est « 64-65°F » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 66-67°F » à 33%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in NYC on March 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.