Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, with 39.5% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts of maximums near 33°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits cloud cover and showers after record 35.4°C heat on March 28. Recent days saw anomalies above 35°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and suppressed convection from the weakening Madden-Julian Oscillation, pushing daily peaks higher than the March climatological average of 31.5°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence around 31–33°C, though afternoon thundery showers could cap heating; NEA hourly updates and real-time observations will refine this through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Singapour le 29 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Singapour le 29 mars ?
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 16%
29°C 8%
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
16%
32°C
40%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C ou plus
4%
32°C 40%
33°C 33%
31°C 16%
29°C 8%
25°C ou moins
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
11%
31°C
16%
32°C
40%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C ou plus
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 32°C as Singapore's highest temperature on March 29, with 39.5% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) forecasts of maximums near 33°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence that limits cloud cover and showers after record 35.4°C heat on March 28. Recent days saw anomalies above 35°C due to warm sea surface temperatures and suppressed convection from the weakening Madden-Julian Oscillation, pushing daily peaks higher than the March climatological average of 31.5°C. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence around 31–33°C, though afternoon thundery showers could cap heating; NEA hourly updates and real-time observations will refine this through resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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