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Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

30°C 31%

29°C 24%

31°C 21%

28°C 12%

Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

30°C 31%

29°C 24%

31°C 21%

28°C 12%

Polymarket

$18,353 Vol.

24°C or below

$2,206 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,451 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,447 Vol.

2%

27°C

$1,561 Vol.

6%

28°C

$1,494 Vol.

12%

29°C

$1,640 Vol.

24%

30°C

$1,735 Vol.

31%

31°C

$1,713 Vol.

21%

32°C

$1,781 Vol.

4%

33°C

$1,719 Vol.

3%

34°C or higher

$1,607 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Sao Paulo high of 30°C (30.5% implied probability) on March 28, with 29°C (24.5%) and 31°C (20%) in tight contention, mirroring the spread in latest forecast models from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent soundings reveal a robust subtropical high pressure ridge aloft, fostering clear skies, low humidity, and efficient daytime radiative heating over the urban heat island landscape, pushing recent daily highs to 28-29°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation capping at 29°C versus persistent subsidence enabling 31°C; soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells amplify upside risk. INMET hourly updates and satellite imagery through March 27 will refine this narrow uncertainty window before official airport station measurements resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,353
Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Sao Paulo high of 30°C (30.5% implied probability) on March 28, with 29°C (24.5%) and 31°C (20%) in tight contention, mirroring the spread in latest forecast models from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent soundings reveal a robust subtropical high pressure ridge aloft, fostering clear skies, low humidity, and efficient daytime radiative heating over the urban heat island landscape, pushing recent daily highs to 28-29°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation capping at 29°C versus persistent subsidence enabling 31°C; soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells amplify upside risk. INMET hourly updates and satellite imagery through March 27 will refine this narrow uncertainty window before official airport station measurements resolve the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Sao Paulo high of 30°C (30.5% implied probability) on March 28, with 29°C (24.5%) and 31°C (20%) in tight contention, mirroring the spread in latest forecast models from Brazil's INMET and CPTEC, alongside ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Recent soundings reveal a robust subtropical high pressure ridge aloft, fostering clear skies, low humidity, and efficient daytime radiative heating over the urban heat island landscape, pushing recent daily highs to 28-29°C. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon sea-breeze moderation capping at 29°C versus persistent subsidence enabling 31°C; soil moisture deficits from prior dry spells amplify upside risk. INMET hourly updates and satellite imagery through March 27 will refine this narrow uncertainty window before official airport station measurements resolve the market.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30°C » à 31%, suivi de « 29°C » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 31¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28? » a généré $18.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28? » est « 30°C » à 31%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 31% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 29°C » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 28? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.