The National Weather Service's latest forecast pins Miami's highest temperature on March 27 at near 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence, and efficient radiational heating, aligning trader consensus with the 82-83°F outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF from the past 24 hours converge on 82-84°F peaks at Miami International Airport, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air amid a +4°F anomaly above the late-March climatological average of 79°F. This positioning reflects March's ongoing warm trend with no frontal disruptions imminent, though exact binning carries uncertainty from minor cloud variations or sea-breeze timing; hourly observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 7%
$25,797 Vol.
$25,797 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 7%
$25,797 Vol.
$25,797 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast pins Miami's highest temperature on March 27 at near 83°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, subsidence, and efficient radiational heating, aligning trader consensus with the 82-83°F outcome at 36.5% implied probability. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF from the past 24 hours converge on 82-84°F peaks at Miami International Airport, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, moist air amid a +4°F anomaly above the late-March climatological average of 79°F. This positioning reflects March's ongoing warm trend with no frontal disruptions imminent, though exact binning carries uncertainty from minor cloud variations or sea-breeze timing; hourly observations will sharpen resolution by evening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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