India Meteorological Department forecasts position 33°C as the leading outcome at 58% market-implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28, directly reflecting their March 27 report projecting a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, following yesterday's observed 30.6°C peak—4.6°C below normal—after a warmer 36°C on March 26. Late-March climatology typically sees highs around 33-34°C amid seasonal heating and subsiding winter influences, with clear conditions favoring standard diurnal temperature rises driven by solar insolation. The 29.5% odds on 32°C or below capture uncertainty from possible persistent haze or light winds limiting peaks, while 34°C at 9% eyes slight model upside. Final resolution awaits IMD's official Lucknow Airport measurement, expected post-sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 65%
32°C or below 21%
34°C 10%
35°C 3.9%
$24,285 Vol.
$24,285 Vol.
32°C or below
21%
33°C
60%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C or below 21%
34°C 10%
35°C 3.9%
$24,285 Vol.
$24,285 Vol.
32°C or below
21%
33°C
60%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts position 33°C as the leading outcome at 58% market-implied probability for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 28, directly reflecting their March 27 report projecting a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mainly clear, following yesterday's observed 30.6°C peak—4.6°C below normal—after a warmer 36°C on March 26. Late-March climatology typically sees highs around 33-34°C amid seasonal heating and subsiding winter influences, with clear conditions favoring standard diurnal temperature rises driven by solar insolation. The 29.5% odds on 32°C or below capture uncertainty from possible persistent haze or light winds limiting peaks, while 34°C at 9% eyes slight model upside. Final resolution awaits IMD's official Lucknow Airport measurement, expected post-sunset.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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