Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 61.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature reaching exactly 35°C on March 26, with 44% for 36°C, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest bulletin forecasting daytime highs of 34-36°C under clear skies and dry northwesterly winds that promote strong surface heating and minimal nocturnal cooling. Recent observations confirm rising temperatures, with March 24 peaking at 35.2°C at Amausi observatory amid low humidity below 30%, aligning with pre-monsoon patterns but warmer than the March climatological average of 33°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement in this range, though gusty winds or unexpected cloud incursions could tip toward 36°C; final resolution awaits official hourly data from IMD stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 75%
36°C 28%
38°C 1.1%
37°C 1.0%
$106,349 Vol.
$106,349 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
75%
36°C
28%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 75%
36°C 28%
38°C 1.1%
37°C 1.0%
$106,349 Vol.
$106,349 Vol.
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
75%
36°C
28%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 61.5% probability for Lucknow's highest temperature reaching exactly 35°C on March 26, with 44% for 36°C, driven by the India Meteorological Department (IMD)'s latest bulletin forecasting daytime highs of 34-36°C under clear skies and dry northwesterly winds that promote strong surface heating and minimal nocturnal cooling. Recent observations confirm rising temperatures, with March 24 peaking at 35.2°C at Amausi observatory amid low humidity below 30%, aligning with pre-monsoon patterns but warmer than the March climatological average of 33°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement in this range, though gusty winds or unexpected cloud incursions could tip toward 36°C; final resolution awaits official hourly data from IMD stations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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