King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa remains firmly in place as Bahrain's monarch, with trader consensus at 87.5% implying no leadership change reflects the absence of any verified developments signaling resignation, abdication, or removal. Recent official actions underscore continuity, including the king's August 2024 pardon of 52 prisoners amid national day celebrations and his meetings with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) leaders on regional security, reinforcing monarchical stability backed by Saudi Arabia. At age 74, Hamad has delegated day-to-day governance to Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, but no succession announcements or health crises have emerged to shift odds. Bahrain's political landscape shows no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or unrest escalations in the past 30 days to challenge the absolute monarchy's entrenched position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn ?
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa en tant que leader de Bahreïn ?
Oui
$112,704 Vol.
$112,704 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Oui
$112,704 Vol.
$112,704 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa remains firmly in place as Bahrain's monarch, with trader consensus at 87.5% implying no leadership change reflects the absence of any verified developments signaling resignation, abdication, or removal. Recent official actions underscore continuity, including the king's August 2024 pardon of 52 prisoners amid national day celebrations and his meetings with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) leaders on regional security, reinforcing monarchical stability backed by Saudi Arabia. At age 74, Hamad has delegated day-to-day governance to Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, but no succession announcements or health crises have emerged to shift odds. Bahrain's political landscape shows no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or unrest escalations in the past 30 days to challenge the absolute monarchy's entrenched position.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Volume
$112,704Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa remains firmly in place as Bahrain's monarch, with trader consensus at 87.5% implying no leadership change reflects the absence of any verified developments signaling resignation, abdication, or removal. Recent official actions underscore continuity, including the king's August 2024 pardon of 52 prisoners amid national day celebrations and his meetings with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) leaders on regional security, reinforcing monarchical stability backed by Saudi Arabia. At age 74, Hamad has delegated day-to-day governance to Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, but no succession announcements or health crises have emerged to shift odds. Bahrain's political landscape shows no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or unrest escalations in the past 30 days to challenge the absolute monarchy's entrenched position.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa, ceases to be the de facto leader of Bahrain at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Bahrain if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Bahrain within this market's timeframe.
An announcement of Khalifa's resignation or abdication will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$112,704Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa remains firmly in place as Bahrain's monarch, with trader consensus at 87.5% implying no leadership change reflects the absence of any verified developments signaling resignation, abdication, or removal. Recent official actions underscore continuity, including the king's August 2024 pardon of 52 prisoners amid national day celebrations and his meetings with Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) leaders on regional security, reinforcing monarchical stability backed by Saudi Arabia. At age 74, Hamad has delegated day-to-day governance to Crown Prince Salman bin Hamad Al Khalifa, but no succession announcements or health crises have emerged to shift odds. Bahrain's political landscape shows no snap elections, no-confidence motions, or unrest escalations in the past 30 days to challenge the absolute monarchy's entrenched position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes