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Finance·Matières Premières

Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?

Market icon
Finance·Matières Premières

Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

$162,709 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$162,709 Vol.

Polymarket

7 000 $

$16,314 Vol.

<1%

6 500 $

$5,811 Vol.

<1%

6 000 $

$18,080 Vol.

<1%

5 800 $

$30,820 Vol.

<1%

5 600 $

$4,847 Vol.

<1%

5 400 $

$43,994 Vol.

1%

5 200 $

$4,403 Vol.

2%

5 000 $

$10,084 Vol.

3%

4 800 $

$11,341 Vol.

10%

4 600 $

$6,537 Vol.

37%

4 400 $

$2,148 Vol.

74%

4 000 $

$8,330 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) for March 2026 settlement traded near $4,443 per ounce on March 28, reflecting a sharp 10-11% weekly plunge driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, which eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset amid unwinding speculative longs and ETF outflows exceeding 85 tonnes. This reversal follows early March highs above $4,600 fueled by Middle East tensions and central bank buying, but recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and firmer economic data curbed haven demand. With month-end settlement imminent on the final trading day, traders eye potential rebalancing flows and any late PCE inflation data, as prices remain vulnerable to sustained dollar strength and Fed policy signals.

Gold futures (GC) for March 2026 settlement traded near $4,443 per ounce on March 28, reflecting a sharp 10-11% weekly plunge driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, which eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset amid unwinding speculative longs and ETF outflows exceeding 85 tonnes. This reversal follows early March highs above $4,600 fueled by Middle East tensions and central bank buying, but recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and firmer economic data curbed haven demand. With month-end settlement imminent on the final trading day, traders eye potential rebalancing flows and any late PCE inflation data, as prices remain vulnerable to sustained dollar strength and Fed policy signals.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) for March 2026 settlement traded near $4,443 per ounce on March 28, reflecting a sharp 10-11% weekly plunge driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, which eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset amid unwinding speculative longs and ETF outflows exceeding 85 tonnes. This reversal follows early March highs above $4,600 fueled by Middle East tensions and central bank buying, but recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and firmer economic data curbed haven demand. With month-end settlement imminent on the final trading day, traders eye potential rebalancing flows and any late PCE inflation data, as prices remain vulnerable to sustained dollar strength and Fed policy signals.

Gold futures (GC) for March 2026 settlement traded near $4,443 per ounce on March 28, reflecting a sharp 10-11% weekly plunge driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%, which eroded gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset amid unwinding speculative longs and ETF outflows exceeding 85 tonnes. This reversal follows early March highs above $4,600 fueled by Middle East tensions and central bank buying, but recent U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks and firmer economic data curbed haven demand. With month-end settlement imminent on the final trading day, traders eye potential rebalancing flows and any late PCE inflation data, as prices remain vulnerable to sustained dollar strength and Fed policy signals.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 4 000 $ » à 96%, suivi de « 4 400 $ » à 74%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 96¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » a généré $162.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 3, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » est « 4 000 $ » à 96%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 96% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 4 400 $ » à 74%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.