Florida's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned for reelection after securing 61.6% in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and rural counties surrounding Gainesville continue to favor GOP candidates, limiting Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3. Primary filing closes June 12 and the August 18 Republican primary has drawn limited challengers so far, while no prominent Democratic contenders have emerged to shift the race. Trader consensus on a Republican winner aligns with the seat's historical performance and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$13,786 Vol.
$13,786 Vol.
Parti républicain
75%
Parti démocrate
12%
$13,786 Vol.
$13,786 Vol.
Parti républicain
75%
Parti démocrate
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with incumbent Kat Cammack positioned for reelection after securing 61.6% in 2024. The district's partisan voting index and rural counties surrounding Gainesville continue to favor GOP candidates, limiting Democratic prospects in the general election on November 3. Primary filing closes June 12 and the August 18 Republican primary has drawn limited challengers so far, while no prominent Democratic contenders have emerged to shift the race. Trader consensus on a Republican winner aligns with the seat's historical performance and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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