Virginia's 8th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic lean rooted in its Northern Virginia suburbs, including Arlington and Alexandria, where federal workforce demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns have produced double-digit margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, and incumbent Don Beyer secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024 under the existing map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort was invalidated by the state Supreme Court. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal or significant national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-08
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants VA-08
$11,879 Vol.
$11,879 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$11,879 Vol.
$11,879 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$10,981 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$898 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic lean rooted in its Northern Virginia suburbs, including Arlington and Alexandria, where federal workforce demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns have produced double-digit margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, and incumbent Don Beyer secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024 under the existing map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort was invalidated by the state Supreme Court. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal or significant national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,879Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 8th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic lean rooted in its Northern Virginia suburbs, including Arlington and Alexandria, where federal workforce demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns have produced double-digit margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, and incumbent Don Beyer secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024 under the existing map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort was invalidated by the state Supreme Court. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal or significant national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,879Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 8th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic lean rooted in its Northern Virginia suburbs, including Arlington and Alexandria, where federal workforce demographics and consistent presidential voting patterns have produced double-digit margins favoring Democrats in recent cycles. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, and incumbent Don Beyer secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024 under the existing map after a failed mid-decade redistricting effort was invalidated by the state Supreme Court. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries scheduled for August and the general election on November 3, 2026. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as an unexpected candidate withdrawal or significant national partisan swing could theoretically alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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