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Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?

Market icon

Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$117,729 Vol.

Oui

<1% chance
Polymarket

$117,729 Vol.

Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill extending or reinstating the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill may extend or reinstate the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues or reinstates enhanced premium tax credits which have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that will otherwise apply if the credits expire.

A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify.

If the bill is signed into law before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes," regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,729
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 2:43 PM ET
Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill extending or reinstating the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill may extend or reinstate the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues or reinstates enhanced premium tax credits which have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that will otherwise apply if the credits expire. A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify. If the bill is signed into law before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes," regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill extending or reinstating the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying bill may extend or reinstate the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues or reinstates enhanced premium tax credits which have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that will otherwise apply if the credits expire.

A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify.

If the bill is signed into law before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes," regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$117,729
Date de fin
Jan 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 2:43 PM ET
Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill extending or reinstating the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill may extend or reinstate the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues or reinstates enhanced premium tax credits which have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that will otherwise apply if the credits expire. A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify. If the bill is signed into law before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes," regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Les crédits d'impôt majorés de l'ACA pour les primes ont-ils été prolongés jusqu'au 31 janvier ?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?" has generated $117.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?" is "Les crédits d'impôt majorés de l'ACA pour les primes ont-ils été prolongés jusqu'au 31 janvier ?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Augmentation des crédits d'impôt sur les primes ACA prolongée d'ici le 31 janvier ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.