WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $101/bbl in late March 2026 front-month contracts, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions—including mixed signals on Iran-US ceasefire talks and fears of prolonged supply disruptions—adding a hefty geopolitical risk premium after surging over 50% this month from sub-$70 levels. This contrasts with building US inventories, up 6.9 million barrels for the week ending March 20 per latest EIA data, and analyst forecasts averaging $60-95/bbl for Brent in 2026 amid projected global supply surpluses and softer demand growth from China. June 2026 WTI futures imply $95/bbl, reflecting trader hedging against volatility; watch OPEC+ ministerial meeting on April 5 and weekly EIA reports for production and stock shifts that could sway the path to quarter-end settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,704,632 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
36%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $115
63%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
78%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
3%
$2,704,632 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
36%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $115
63%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
78%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
69%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
3%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have rallied sharply to around $101/bbl in late March 2026 front-month contracts, propelled by escalating Middle East tensions—including mixed signals on Iran-US ceasefire talks and fears of prolonged supply disruptions—adding a hefty geopolitical risk premium after surging over 50% this month from sub-$70 levels. This contrasts with building US inventories, up 6.9 million barrels for the week ending March 20 per latest EIA data, and analyst forecasts averaging $60-95/bbl for Brent in 2026 amid projected global supply surpluses and softer demand growth from China. June 2026 WTI futures imply $95/bbl, reflecting trader hedging against volatility; watch OPEC+ ministerial meeting on April 5 and weekly EIA reports for production and stock shifts that could sway the path to quarter-end settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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