WTI crude oil futures have surged amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz risks, pushing prices above $110 briefly last week before pulling back on ceasefire hopes, with June 2026 contracts settling around $89.50 amid pronounced backwardation reflecting tight near-term physical markets, particularly in Asia. The latest EIA report for the week ending March 20 showed a bearish 6.9 million barrel inventory build, exceeding expectations and capping upside, while U.S. production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecasts for 2026. OPEC+ maintains voluntary cuts but monitors geopolitical volatility closely. Traders eye weekly EIA releases and the next OPEC+ policy meeting for cues on demand resilience and supply response through June end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
Le pétrole brut (CL) atteindra-t-il__ d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?
$2,704,629 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $115
63%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
78%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
3%
$2,704,629 Vol.
↑ 200 $
13%
↑ $175
17%
↑ 150 $
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
46%
↑ $120
59%
↑ $115
63%
↑ 110 $
71%
↑ $105
78%
↑ 100 $
91%
↓ $85
68%
↓ $80
62%
↓ $70
37%
↓ $60
20%
↓ 55 $
13%
↓ 52 $
7%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 47 $
5%
↓ 45 $
4%
↓ 40 $
3%
↓ 35 $
3%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have surged amid escalating Middle East tensions, including Iranian supply disruptions and Strait of Hormuz risks, pushing prices above $110 briefly last week before pulling back on ceasefire hopes, with June 2026 contracts settling around $89.50 amid pronounced backwardation reflecting tight near-term physical markets, particularly in Asia. The latest EIA report for the week ending March 20 showed a bearish 6.9 million barrel inventory build, exceeding expectations and capping upside, while U.S. production holds steady near 13.6 million b/d forecasts for 2026. OPEC+ maintains voluntary cuts but monitors geopolitical volatility closely. Traders eye weekly EIA releases and the next OPEC+ policy meeting for cues on demand resilience and supply response through June end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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