Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a commanding lead in California's 2nd Congressional District (PVI D+15), a safely blue seat spanning the North Coast from Marin to Humboldt counties, where traders price Democratic victory at 91.5% ahead of the November 5 general election. Huffman cruised through the June top-two primary with 75% of the vote against Republican Chris Coulombe, mirroring his 2022 general election landslide of 72%-28%. Absent recent polls or competitive signals, the district's consistent Democratic dominance and lack of scandals underpin this trader consensus. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking events like a major scandal, health issues, or anomalous GOP turnout surges in rural areas, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
92%
Parti républicain
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
92%
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a commanding lead in California's 2nd Congressional District (PVI D+15), a safely blue seat spanning the North Coast from Marin to Humboldt counties, where traders price Democratic victory at 91.5% ahead of the November 5 general election. Huffman cruised through the June top-two primary with 75% of the vote against Republican Chris Coulombe, mirroring his 2022 general election landslide of 72%-28%. Absent recent polls or competitive signals, the district's consistent Democratic dominance and lack of scandals underpin this trader consensus. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking events like a major scandal, health issues, or anomalous GOP turnout surges in rural areas, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a commanding lead in California's 2nd Congressional District (PVI D+15), a safely blue seat spanning the North Coast from Marin to Humboldt counties, where traders price Democratic victory at 91.5% ahead of the November 5 general election. Huffman cruised through the June top-two primary with 75% of the vote against Republican Chris Coulombe, mirroring his 2022 general election landslide of 72%-28%. Absent recent polls or competitive signals, the district's consistent Democratic dominance and lack of scandals underpin this trader consensus. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking events like a major scandal, health issues, or anomalous GOP turnout surges in rural areas, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jared Huffman holds a commanding lead in California's 2nd Congressional District (PVI D+15), a safely blue seat spanning the North Coast from Marin to Humboldt counties, where traders price Democratic victory at 91.5% ahead of the November 5 general election. Huffman cruised through the June top-two primary with 75% of the vote against Republican Chris Coulombe, mirroring his 2022 general election landslide of 72%-28%. Absent recent polls or competitive signals, the district's consistent Democratic dominance and lack of scandals underpin this trader consensus. Upsets remain possible via late-breaking events like a major scandal, health issues, or anomalous GOP turnout surges in rural areas, though historical precedents favor the incumbent.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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