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Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska

Market icon
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska

Tom Begich 30%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Treg Taylor 13.9%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 14%

Polymarket

$732,364 Vol.

Tom Begich 30%

Bernadette Wilson 15%

Treg Taylor 13.9%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 14%

Polymarket

$732,364 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$94,438 Vol.

30%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,622 Vol.

15%

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Treg Taylor

$2,678 Vol.

14%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$320 Vol.

14%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,034 Vol.

10%

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Hank Kroll

$193 Vol.

5%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,205 Vol.

5%

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Shelley Hughes

$0 Vol.

3%

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David Bronson

$2,157 Vol.

3%

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Mary Peltola

$319,631 Vol.

3%

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Bruce Walden

$59 Vol.

3%

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Matt Claman

$59 Vol.

2%

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Edna DeVries

$2,347 Vol.

2%

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Click Bishop

$2,311 Vol.

2%

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James Parkin

$23,226 Vol.

2%

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Matt Heilala

$23,418 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,666 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former state Sen. Tom Begich a 29.5% implied probability lead in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18, reflecting recent polls like Lake Research Partners (38%) and Alaska Survey Research (41%) positioning him atop the crowded first-round field, bolstered by $350,000 in early Alaskan-heavy fundraising after Rep. Mary Peltola shifted to a U.S. Senate bid. Ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (15.6%) draws on law enforcement credentials and $880,000 raised, including strong external support, while conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (14.5%) appeals to the GOP base as an outsider; former Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (13%) competes on the Democratic side with recent $750,000 inflows. Consolidation could hinge on endorsements, further polls, and regional turnout in ranked-choice voting, amid over a dozen candidates fragmenting the Republican field including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (9.8%).

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$732,364
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus on Polymarket gives former state Sen. Tom Begich a 29.5% implied probability lead in the nonpartisan top-four primary set for August 18, reflecting recent polls like Lake Research Partners (38%) and Alaska Survey Research (41%) positioning him atop the crowded first-round field, bolstered by $350,000 in early Alaskan-heavy fundraising after Rep. Mary Peltola shifted to a U.S. Senate bid. Ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (15.6%) draws on law enforcement credentials and $880,000 raised, including strong external support, while conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (14.5%) appeals to the GOP base as an outsider; former Rep. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (13%) competes on the Democratic side with recent $750,000 inflows. Consolidation could hinge on endorsements, further polls, and regional turnout in ranked-choice voting, amid over a dozen candidates fragmenting the Republican field including Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (9.8%).

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$732,364
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Begich » à 30%, suivi de « Bernadette Wilson » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 30¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » a généré $732.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » est « Tom Begich » à 30%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 30% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Bernadette Wilson » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.