Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 to R+8, encompassing The Villages retirement community in Sumter County along with portions of Lake, Orange, and Polk counties. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while Democratic candidates show limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November 2026. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-11
$18,517 Vol.
$18,517 Vol.
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
14%
$18,517 Vol.
$18,517 Vol.
Parti républicain
83%
Parti démocrate
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 to R+8, encompassing The Villages retirement community in Sumter County along with portions of Lake, Orange, and Polk counties. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open seat, prompting a crowded Republican primary on August 18, 2026, while Democratic candidates show limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns overwhelming probability to the Republican nominee prevailing in November 2026. No major shifts in polling or endorsements have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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