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Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?

Market icon
Sports·2026 Winter Games

Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?

$1,162,336 Vol.

Feb 22, 2026
Polymarket

$1,162,336 Vol.

Polymarket

Andorra

$4,809 Vol.

No

Armenia

$1,257 Vol.

No

Austria

$56,953 Vol.

Yes

Belgium

$10,804 Vol.

Yes

Bolivia

$2,615 Vol.

No

Brazil

$87,431 Vol.

Yes

Canada

$16,935 Vol.

Yes

China

$22,613 Vol.

Yes

Colombia

$11,941 Vol.

No

Cyprus

$3,299 Vol.

No

Denmark

$19,188 Vol.

Yes

Eritrea

$1,753 Vol.

No

Finland

$18,214 Vol.

Yes

Georgia

$26,254 Vol.

Yes

Great Britain

$16,289 Vol.

Yes

Guinea-Bissau

$2,944 Vol.

No

Hong Kong

$5,009 Vol.

No

Iceland

$23,825 Vol.

No

Iran

$9,132 Vol.

No

Albania

$1,689 Vol.

No

Argentina

$4,962 Vol.

No

Australia

$12,260 Vol.

Yes

Azerbaijan

$1,713 Vol.

No

Benin

$1,199 Vol.

No

Bosnia and Herzegovina

$1,273 Vol.

No

Bulgaria

$36,370 Vol.

Yes

Chile

$1,783 Vol.

No

Chinese Taipei

$10,558 Vol.

No

Croatia

$3,004 Vol.

No

Czech Republic

$36,052 Vol.

Yes

Ecuador

$1,376 Vol.

No

Estonia

$5,457 Vol.

Yes

France

$23,116 Vol.

Yes

Germany

$23,160 Vol.

Yes

Greece

$2,365 Vol.

No

Haiti

$2,615 Vol.

No

Hungary

$8,862 Vol.

No

India

$4,822 Vol.

No

Ireland

$8,663 Vol.

No

Italy

$17,800 Vol.

Yes

Japan

$28,347 Vol.

Yes

Kenya

$5,095 Vol.

No

Kyrgyzstan

$1,792 Vol.

No

Israel

$21,612 Vol.

No

Jamaica

$35,694 Vol.

No

Kazakhstan

$18,832 Vol.

Yes

Kosovo

$1,115 Vol.

No

Latvia

$16,123 Vol.

Yes

Liechtenstein

$4,686 Vol.

No

Luxembourg

$1,492 Vol.

No

Malaysia

$2,681 Vol.

No

Mexico

$20,021 Vol.

No

Lebanon

$1,802 Vol.

No

Lithuania

$10,612 Vol.

No

Madagascar

$2,864 Vol.

No

Malta

$1,924 Vol.

No

Moldova

$1,834 Vol.

No

Mongolia

$39,756 Vol.

No

Morocco

$3,532 Vol.

No

New Zealand

$16,483 Vol.

Yes

North Macedonia

$5,443 Vol.

No

Pakistan

$1,707 Vol.

No

Poland

$81,650 Vol.

Yes

Puerto Rico

$4,147 Vol.

No

San Marino

$1,628 Vol.

No

Serbia

$4,982 Vol.

No

Slovakia

$6,853 Vol.

No

South Africa

$2,077 Vol.

No

Spain

$8,355 Vol.

Yes

Switzerland

$25,295 Vol.

Yes

Trinidad and Tobago

$4,149 Vol.

No

Ukraine

$5,931 Vol.

No

United States

$20,995 Vol.

Yes

Uzbekistan

$1,518 Vol.

No

Monaco

$2,120 Vol.

No

Montenegro

$2,062 Vol.

No

Netherlands

$23,022 Vol.

Yes

Nigeria

$1,660 Vol.

No

Norway

$22,703 Vol.

Yes

Philippines

$1,343 Vol.

No

Portugal

$5,154 Vol.

No

Romania

$4,150 Vol.

No

Saudi Arabia

$1,939 Vol.

No

Singapore

$5,071 Vol.

No

Slovenia

$46,406 Vol.

Yes

South Korea

$21,190 Vol.

Yes

Sweden

$35,356 Vol.

Yes

Thailand

$2,225 Vol.

No

Turkey

$4,800 Vol.

No

United Arab Emirates

$4,063 Vol.

No

Uruguay

$7,900 Vol.

No

Venezuela

$2,616 Vol.

No

INA

$7,167 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered.

For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events.

If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,162,336
End Date
Feb 22, 2026
Created At
Feb 3, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country wins one or more medals at the 2026 Milano–Cortina Winter Olympics. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the official medal table as it stands after medals are awarded for the final event of the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics. Subsequent disqualifications, reallocations, or other changes to medal counts will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, medals won by athletes competing as Individual Neutral Athletes (INA) will be classified as “INA” and will not count toward any listed nation’s medal total. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are partially completed and then cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve based on medals awarded in completed events. If the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics are entirely cancelled or postponed after March 8, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 93+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austria" at 100%, followed by "Belgium" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?," browse the 93+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?" is "Austria" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Belgium" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winter Games 2026: Countries to win a medal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.