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UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

Market icon

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

$143,033 Vol.

May 7, 2026
Polymarket

$143,033 Vol.

Polymarket
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? icon

Arsenal

$26,033 Vol.

64%

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? icon

Bayern München

$43,748 Vol.

56%

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? icon

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)

$20,539 Vol.

44%

Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? icon

Atlético Madrid

$14,703 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.PSG and Bayern Munich headline one UEFA Champions League semi-final, while Atlético Madrid hosts Arsenal in the other, with ties confirmed after dramatic quarter-finals concluded April 15. PSG advanced past Liverpool via dominant aggregate win fueled by clinical finishing, Bayern ousted Real Madrid in a 6-4 thriller highlighting attacking depth, Arsenal edged Sporting CP 1-0 overall through defensive grit, and Atlético eliminated Barcelona with Simeone's trademark organization. First legs arrive April 28-29—PSG at home and Atlético with Wanda Metropolitano edge—setting up aggregate battles where momentum, home form, and squad rotation amid domestic schedules loom large. Arsenal face Saka doubt from recent knocks, but full-strength attacks dominate trader focus in these closely contested knockouts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$143,033
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.PSG and Bayern Munich headline one UEFA Champions League semi-final, while Atlético Madrid hosts Arsenal in the other, with ties confirmed after dramatic quarter-finals concluded April 15. PSG advanced past Liverpool via dominant aggregate win fueled by clinical finishing, Bayern ousted Real Madrid in a 6-4 thriller highlighting attacking depth, Arsenal edged Sporting CP 1-0 overall through defensive grit, and Atlético eliminated Barcelona with Simeone's trademark organization. First legs arrive April 28-29—PSG at home and Atlético with Wanda Metropolitano edge—setting up aggregate battles where momentum, home form, and squad rotation amid domestic schedules loom large. Arsenal face Saka doubt from recent knocks, but full-strength attacks dominate trader focus in these closely contested knockouts.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$143,033
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arsenal" at 64%, followed by "Bayern München" at 56%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" has generated $143K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" is "Arsenal" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bayern München" at 56%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.