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Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

Market icon
Sports·Soccer

UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final

$20,833 Vol.

May 7, 2026
Polymarket

$20,833 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Arsenal

$4,326 Vol.

51%

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Bayern München

$3,815 Vol.

42%

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Barcelona

$7,201 Vol.

35%

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Paris Saint-Germain (PSG)

$2,512 Vol.

28%

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Real Madrid

$581 Vol.

21%

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Liverpool

$844 Vol.

17%

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Atlético Madrid

$1,171 Vol.

12%

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Sporting CP

$382 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With quarterfinal first legs set for April 7 following the March 17 round-of-16 conclusions, trader consensus reflects dominant knockout form from Bayern München (10-2 aggregate over Atalanta), Paris Saint-Germain (8-2 vs. Chelsea), and Barcelona (8-3 vs. Newcastle), alongside Arsenal's composed 3-1 progression past Bayer Leverkusen. Arsenal face Sporting CP in a perceived favorable matchup, while Bayern encounter Real Madrid in a blockbuster tie, PSG host Liverpool, and Barcelona tackle Atlético Madrid in a heated derby. Semifinal paths pit potential winners of PSG/Liverpool against Real/Bayern, and Barcelona/Atleti against Arsenal/Sporting, with home advantages and recent momentum key factors ahead of the May 30 Budapest final. No major injury updates have emerged in the past week.

With quarterfinal first legs set for April 7 following the March 17 round-of-16 conclusions, trader consensus reflects dominant knockout form from Bayern München (10-2 aggregate over Atalanta), Paris Saint-Germain (8-2 vs. Chelsea), and Barcelona (8-3 vs. Newcastle), alongside Arsenal's composed 3-1 progression past Bayer Leverkusen. Arsenal face Sporting CP in a perceived favorable matchup, while Bayern encounter Real Madrid in a blockbuster tie, PSG host Liverpool, and Barcelona tackle Atlético Madrid in a heated derby. Semifinal paths pit potential winners of PSG/Liverpool against Real/Bayern, and Barcelona/Atleti against Arsenal/Sporting, with home advantages and recent momentum key factors ahead of the May 30 Budapest final. No major injury updates have emerged in the past week.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With quarterfinal first legs set for April 7 following the March 17 round-of-16 conclusions, trader consensus reflects dominant knockout form from Bayern München (10-2 aggregate over Atalanta), Paris Saint-Germain (8-2 vs. Chelsea), and Barcelona (8-3 vs. Newcastle), alongside Arsenal's composed 3-1 progression past Bayer Leverkusen. Arsenal face Sporting CP in a perceived favorable matchup, while Bayern encounter Real Madrid in a blockbuster tie, PSG host Liverpool, and Barcelona tackle Atlético Madrid in a heated derby. Semifinal paths pit potential winners of PSG/Liverpool against Real/Bayern, and Barcelona/Atleti against Arsenal/Sporting, with home advantages and recent momentum key factors ahead of the May 30 Budapest final. No major injury updates have emerged in the past week.

With quarterfinal first legs set for April 7 following the March 17 round-of-16 conclusions, trader consensus reflects dominant knockout form from Bayern München (10-2 aggregate over Atalanta), Paris Saint-Germain (8-2 vs. Chelsea), and Barcelona (8-3 vs. Newcastle), alongside Arsenal's composed 3-1 progression past Bayer Leverkusen. Arsenal face Sporting CP in a perceived favorable matchup, while Bayern encounter Real Madrid in a blockbuster tie, PSG host Liverpool, and Barcelona tackle Atlético Madrid in a heated derby. Semifinal paths pit potential winners of PSG/Liverpool against Real/Bayern, and Barcelona/Atleti against Arsenal/Sporting, with home advantages and recent momentum key factors ahead of the May 30 Budapest final. No major injury updates have emerged in the past week.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Arsenal" at 51%, followed by "Bayern München" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" is "Arsenal" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bayern München" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UEFA Champions League: Team to reach final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.