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Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?

Market icon

Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?

This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Volume
$502
End Date
Jan 31, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 23, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Volume
$502
End Date
Jan 31, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 23, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether Partido Socialista (The Socialist Party, or PS) of Portugal will win 108 or more seats in the Assembleia da República (the Assembly of the Republic or the Parliament) in the upcoming snap legislative election scheduled for January 30, 2022. If the PS secures 108 or more parliamentary seats in the election on January 30, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government published through the official parliamentary website (https://www.parlamento.pt/sites/EN/Parliament/Paginas/Election-results.aspx). However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 24, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.