Market icon

Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)

Market icon

Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)

This is a market on whether the price for Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts for November 2022 (NGX2) will settle at $7.000 or higher as of market close on October 10, 2022. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at $7.000 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at less than $7.000 as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used.

The resolution source for this market will be CME Group's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for Henry Hub Natural Gas futures, found at (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Settle” in the row titled "NOV 22" when Final Data is available for the trade date of this market's resolution date.
Volume
$17,306
End Date
Oct 10, 2022
Market Opened
Sep 29, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether the price for Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts for November 2022 (NGX2) will settle at $7.000 or higher as of market close on October 10, 2022. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at $7.000 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at less than $7.000 as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be CME Group's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for Henry Hub Natural Gas futures, found at (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Settle” in the row titled "NOV 22" when Final Data is available for the trade date of this market's resolution date.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a market on whether the price for Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts for November 2022 (NGX2) will settle at $7.000 or higher as of market close on October 10, 2022. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at $7.000 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at less than $7.000 as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.

If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used.

The resolution source for this market will be CME Group's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for Henry Hub Natural Gas futures, found at (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Settle” in the row titled "NOV 22" when Final Data is available for the trade date of this market's resolution date.
Volume
$17,306
End Date
Oct 10, 2022
Market Opened
Sep 29, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This is a market on whether the price for Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts for November 2022 (NGX2) will settle at $7.000 or higher as of market close on October 10, 2022. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at $7.000 or greater as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the value of NOV 22 natural gas futures settles at less than $7.000 as of market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”. If for any reason (e.g. market holiday, emergency market closure) there is no close price for this market's resolution date, the close price of the nearest previous date will be used. The resolution source for this market will be CME Group's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) for Henry Hub Natural Gas futures, found at (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/natural-gas/natural-gas.settlements.html). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “Settle” in the row titled "NOV 22" when Final Data is available for the trade date of this market's resolution date.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)" has generated $17.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.