Market icon
Sports·Celebrities

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

Market icon
Sports·Celebrities

Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?

$249,204 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$249,204 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$3,187 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xQc holds the current Minecraft speedrun personal best of 14:27.035 in-game time (IGT), set during a live stream on January 26, 2026, reclaiming the record from Forsen after nearly three years and surpassing his prior 15:28.130 mark by nearly a minute in their ongoing streamer rivalry on 1.16.1 RSG Any%. Forsen reacted publicly to the achievement but has not yet logged a sub-14:27 run in subsequent attempts, with trader consensus reflecting the challenge amid his lighter recent grinding compared to xQc's focused sessions totaling over 120 hours on sub-18:10 efforts. With the April 30, 2026, deadline approaching, key factors include Forsen's stream schedule, seed luck, execution under live pressure, and historical patterns of rapid rebuttals in this back-and-forth competition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,204
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xQc holds the current Minecraft speedrun personal best of 14:27.035 in-game time (IGT), set during a live stream on January 26, 2026, reclaiming the record from Forsen after nearly three years and surpassing his prior 15:28.130 mark by nearly a minute in their ongoing streamer rivalry on 1.16.1 RSG Any%. Forsen reacted publicly to the achievement but has not yet logged a sub-14:27 run in subsequent attempts, with trader consensus reflecting the challenge amid his lighter recent grinding compared to xQc's focused sessions totaling over 120 hours on sub-18:10 efforts. With the April 30, 2026, deadline approaching, key factors include Forsen's stream schedule, seed luck, execution under live pressure, and historical patterns of rapid rebuttals in this back-and-forth competition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,204
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 31, 2026, 11:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Forsen breaks xQc's In-Game-Time of 14:27.035 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for Forsen to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by Forsen or where Forsen is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Forsen's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/forsen); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 32%, followed by "February 14" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" has generated $249.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" is "April 30" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "February 14" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.