A partisan impasse over funding levels for DHS immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP has fueled the partial government shutdown since February 14, 2026, shaping trader consensus on H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026. The House passed the full-year bill on March 5 by a 221-209 party-line vote, with Republicans supporting and Democrats opposing amid demands for cuts. No Senate floor vote occurred by the March 31 deadline, despite referral to the Appropriations Committee on March 9, leading to multiple continuing resolutions—including a House-approved 60-day extension on March 27 funding DHS through May 22. Congress recessed without resolution, with return expected to drive negotiations before the next deadline. Recorded House yea votes now anchor market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWho will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$111,372 Vol.

Chris Coons
No

Bernie Sanders
No

Rand Paul
No

Maggie Hassan
No

John Fetterman
No

Catherine Cortez Masto
No

Mark Warner
No

Jeanne Shaheen
No

Lisa Murkowski
No

Susan Collins
No

Thom Tillis
No

Tim Kaine
No

Angus King
No

Jacky Rosen
No

Patty Murray
No

Mike Lee
No

Rick Scott
No

Dick Durbin
No

Ron Johnson
No

Chuck Schumer
No

Amy Klobuchar
No

Chris Murphy
No

Kirsten Gillibrand
No
$111,372 Vol.

Chris Coons
No

Bernie Sanders
No

Rand Paul
No

Maggie Hassan
No

John Fetterman
No

Catherine Cortez Masto
No

Mark Warner
No

Jeanne Shaheen
No

Lisa Murkowski
No

Susan Collins
No

Thom Tillis
No

Tim Kaine
No

Angus King
No

Jacky Rosen
No

Patty Murray
No

Mike Lee
No

Rick Scott
No

Dick Durbin
No

Ron Johnson
No

Chuck Schumer
No

Amy Klobuchar
No

Chris Murphy
No

Kirsten Gillibrand
No
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
A partisan impasse over funding levels for DHS immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP has fueled the partial government shutdown since February 14, 2026, shaping trader consensus on H.R. 7744, the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026. The House passed the full-year bill on March 5 by a 221-209 party-line vote, with Republicans supporting and Democrats opposing amid demands for cuts. No Senate floor vote occurred by the March 31 deadline, despite referral to the Appropriations Committee on March 9, leading to multiple continuing resolutions—including a House-approved 60-day extension on March 27 funding DHS through May 22. Congress recessed without resolution, with return expected to drive negotiations before the next deadline. Recorded House yea votes now anchor market outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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