Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Merab Dvalishvili 67%

Sean O’Malley 10.6%

Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%

Payton Talbott 3.8%

Polymarket

$191,767 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili 67%

Sean O’Malley 10.6%

Umar Nurmagomedov 5.6%

Payton Talbott 3.8%

Polymarket

$191,767 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili

$55,440 Vol.

60%

Sean O’Malley

$14,609 Vol.

11%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$12,271 Vol.

6%

Payton Talbott

$7,013 Vol.

4%

Alexandre Pantoja

$6,740 Vol.

1%

Ricky Simón

$6,130 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$6,759 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$7,759 Vol.

1%

Rob Font

$4,500 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$38,774 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Munhoz

$4,936 Vol.

<1%

Song Yadong

$11,858 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Cruz

$7,795 Vol.

<1%

Henry Cejudo

$7,183 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).**Trader consensus prices a trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili at 54% implied probability for Petr Yan's next fight, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's prior decision win upended by Yan's title-capturing unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025—with both openly pushing for a summer rubber match around International Fight Week.** Yan's recovery from January back surgery positions him for a June-August return, while Dvalishvili, despite a recent broken nose from a non-fight accident, insists on waiting rather than interim bouts. **Sean O'Malley trails at 11% after his UFC 324 decision over Song Yadong, fueling rematch buzz with the new champion amid their stylistic history.** Contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov (6%) hold minor volume as ranked threats lacking fresh momentum. Yan's team notes his opponent is pre-determined, amplifying trilogy anticipation.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$191,767
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).**Trader consensus prices a trilogy bout with Merab Dvalishvili at 54% implied probability for Petr Yan's next fight, driven by their 1-1 rivalry—Dvalishvili's prior decision win upended by Yan's title-capturing unanimous decision at UFC 323 in December 2025—with both openly pushing for a summer rubber match around International Fight Week.** Yan's recovery from January back surgery positions him for a June-August return, while Dvalishvili, despite a recent broken nose from a non-fight accident, insists on waiting rather than interim bouts. **Sean O'Malley trails at 11% after his UFC 324 decision over Song Yadong, fueling rematch buzz with the new champion amid their stylistic history.** Contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov (6%) hold minor volume as ranked threats lacking fresh momentum. Yan's team notes his opponent is pre-determined, amplifying trilogy anticipation.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$191,767
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 60%, followed by "Sean O’Malley" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" has generated $191.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Petr Yan fight next?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean O’Malley" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.