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Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Market icon
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$61,273 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$61,273 Vol.

Polymarket

Sergei Pavlovich

$29 Vol.

90%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

86%

Jiří Procházka

$3,426 Vol.

61%

Alexandre Pantoja

$0 Vol.

48%

Magomed Ankalaev

$394 Vol.

33%

Merab Dvalishvili

$729 Vol.

41%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

30%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,090 Vol.

22%

Ciryl Gane

$0 Vol.

28%

Aljamain Sterling

$52 Vol.

25%

Ian Machado Garry

$0 Vol.

22%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

20%

Charles Oliveira

$35 Vol.

20%

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

20%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

20%

Belal Muhammad

$191 Vol.

20%

Alexander Volkov

$252 Vol.

19%

Sean O'Malley

$1,308 Vol.

16%

Kamaru Usman

$6,299 Vol.

15%

Sean Strickland

$928 Vol.

15%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

11%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$730 Vol.

10%

Diego Lopes

$4,886 Vol.

8%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

4%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

3%

Paddy Pimblett

$0 Vol.

2%

Leon Edwards

$39,924 Vol.

8%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UFC's 2026 title landscape features relatively new champions across most divisions, including Islam Makhachev at welterweight, Khamzat Chimaev at middleweight, and Ilia Topuria as lightweight titleholder alongside Justin Gaethje's interim strap won in January. Alexander Volkanovski defended his featherweight belt earlier this year, while Petr Yan and Joshua Van claimed bantamweight and flyweight crowns late 2025. Recent March rankings updates highlight rising contenders like Joe Pyfer and Arman Tsarukyan amid post-UFC 326 shifts, fueling trader focus on pound-for-pound elites' dominance versus upset potential in Q2 title fights such as Prochazka vs. Ulberg. Multi-division threats from top P4P fighters like Makhachev and Topuria shape sentiment for new champions emerging from stacked main events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,273
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UFC's 2026 title landscape features relatively new champions across most divisions, including Islam Makhachev at welterweight, Khamzat Chimaev at middleweight, and Ilia Topuria as lightweight titleholder alongside Justin Gaethje's interim strap won in January. Alexander Volkanovski defended his featherweight belt earlier this year, while Petr Yan and Joshua Van claimed bantamweight and flyweight crowns late 2025. Recent March rankings updates highlight rising contenders like Joe Pyfer and Arman Tsarukyan amid post-UFC 326 shifts, fueling trader focus on pound-for-pound elites' dominance versus upset potential in Q2 title fights such as Prochazka vs. Ulberg. Multi-division threats from top P4P fighters like Makhachev and Topuria shape sentiment for new champions emerging from stacked main events.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$61,273
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

75%
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Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

51%
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Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

78%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jiří Procházka" at 61%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $61.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Jiří Procházka" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.