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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Market icon
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 28.4%

Arman Tsarukyan 8.5%

Merab Dvalishvili 3.1%

Tom Aspinall 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,503 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 28.4%

Arman Tsarukyan 8.5%

Merab Dvalishvili 3.1%

Tom Aspinall 1.1%

Polymarket

$10,503 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$1,145 Vol.

28%

Arman Tsarukyan

$728 Vol.

9%

Merab Dvalishvili

$405 Vol.

3%

Tom Aspinall

$642 Vol.

1%

Magomed Ankalaev

$845 Vol.

1%

Petr Yan

$676 Vol.

1%

Joshua Van

$579 Vol.

1%

Dricus Du Plessis

$403 Vol.

<1%

Max Holloway

$387 Vol.

<1%

Ilia Topuria

$511 Vol.

-

Alexandre Pantoja

$585 Vol.

30%

Islam Makhachev

$829 Vol.

36%

Jack Della Maddalena

$1,828 Vol.

32%

Khamzat Chimaev

$470 Vol.

27%

Alex Pereira

$469 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin pound-for-pound race for UFC's year-end top spot, with Islam Makhachev's dual lightweight and welterweight title reigns—bolstered by his dominant UFC 322 decision over Jack Della Maddalena—barely edging Ilia Topuria's lightweight strap won via knockout ascent and upcoming June unification against interim champ Justin Gaethje. Alex Pereira's recent first-round knockout and interim heavyweight title clash versus Ciryl Gane fuel his surge, while Della Maddalena's quick rebound headlining UFC Fight Night versus Carlos Prates signals resurgence potential. Post-UFC 327 rankings on April 14 cemented Makhachev at No. 1 but highlighted no clear dominator amid multi-division ambitions, failed super-fights like Topuria-Makhachev, and eight months of defenses, upsets, or cross-division moves ahead.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$10,503
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin pound-for-pound race for UFC's year-end top spot, with Islam Makhachev's dual lightweight and welterweight title reigns—bolstered by his dominant UFC 322 decision over Jack Della Maddalena—barely edging Ilia Topuria's lightweight strap won via knockout ascent and upcoming June unification against interim champ Justin Gaethje. Alex Pereira's recent first-round knockout and interim heavyweight title clash versus Ciryl Gane fuel his surge, while Della Maddalena's quick rebound headlining UFC Fight Night versus Carlos Prates signals resurgence potential. Post-UFC 327 rankings on April 14 cemented Makhachev at No. 1 but highlighted no clear dominator amid multi-division ambitions, failed super-fights like Topuria-Makhachev, and eight months of defenses, upsets, or cross-division moves ahead.

This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$10,503
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Related

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Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026?

59%
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Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

62%
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Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

31%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ilia Topuria" at 37%, followed by "Islam Makhachev" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" is "Ilia Topuria" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Islam Makhachev" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.