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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Mar 31

Mar 31

War Machine 2.4%

Nuremberg 1.9%

Trolls 1.8%

KPop Demon Hunters 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,314 Vol.

War Machine 2.4%

Nuremberg 1.9%

Trolls 1.8%

KPop Demon Hunters 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,314 Vol.

Market icon

War Machine

$1,593 Vol.

2%

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Nuremberg

$2,579 Vol.

2%

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Trolls

$399 Vol.

2%

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KPop Demon Hunters

$577 Vol.

2%

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The Captive

$390 Vol.

2%

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Jurassic World Rebirth

$1,044 Vol.

2%

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Nobody 2

$765 Vol.

2%

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Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

$1,730 Vol.

2%

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Trap House

$517 Vol.

2%

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Jurassic World: Dominion

$720 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movie chart, with War Machine edging out rivals at a slim 2.8% implied probability thanks to its explosive 39.3 million-view debut three weeks ago, though its trajectory has cooled to #6 daily amid fading momentum. Close challengers like KPop Demon Hunters (1.9%, long-tail animated hold at #9), Nuremberg and Trap House (both 1.8%, mid-March #2/#3 peaks now evaporated), and Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (1.7%, recent #1 true-crime surge slipping to #7) vie in a crowded field disrupted by fresh animated family hits—The Bad Guys 2 (#2 daily) and Minions: The Rise of Gru (#3)—plus horror newcomer Anaconda (#1). Final weekend streaming metrics will decide if any listed title breaks through or unlisted frontrunners like Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man dominate.

Trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movie chart, with War Machine edging out rivals at a slim 2.8% implied probability thanks to its explosive 39.3 million-view debut three weeks ago, though its trajectory has cooled to #6 daily amid fading momentum. Close challengers like KPop Demon Hunters (1.9%, long-tail animated hold at #9), Nuremberg and Trap House (both 1.8%, mid-March #2/#3 peaks now evaporated), and Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (1.7%, recent #1 true-crime surge slipping to #7) vie in a crowded field disrupted by fresh animated family hits—The Bad Guys 2 (#2 daily) and Minions: The Rise of Gru (#3)—plus horror newcomer Anaconda (#1). Final weekend streaming metrics will decide if any listed title breaks through or unlisted frontrunners like Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man dominate.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movie chart, with War Machine edging out rivals at a slim 2.8% implied probability thanks to its explosive 39.3 million-view debut three weeks ago, though its trajectory has cooled to #6 daily amid fading momentum. Close challengers like KPop Demon Hunters (1.9%, long-tail animated hold at #9), Nuremberg and Trap House (both 1.8%, mid-March #2/#3 peaks now evaporated), and Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (1.7%, recent #1 true-crime surge slipping to #7) vie in a crowded field disrupted by fresh animated family hits—The Bad Guys 2 (#2 daily) and Minions: The Rise of Gru (#3)—plus horror newcomer Anaconda (#1). Final weekend streaming metrics will decide if any listed title breaks through or unlisted frontrunners like Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man dominate.

Trader consensus reflects a fragmented race for the #2 spot on Netflix's US weekly movie chart, with War Machine edging out rivals at a slim 2.8% implied probability thanks to its explosive 39.3 million-view debut three weeks ago, though its trajectory has cooled to #6 daily amid fading momentum. Close challengers like KPop Demon Hunters (1.9%, long-tail animated hold at #9), Nuremberg and Trap House (both 1.8%, mid-March #2/#3 peaks now evaporated), and Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story (1.7%, recent #1 true-crime surge slipping to #7) vie in a crowded field disrupted by fresh animated family hits—The Bad Guys 2 (#2 daily) and Minions: The Rise of Gru (#3)—plus horror newcomer Anaconda (#1). Final weekend streaming metrics will decide if any listed title breaks through or unlisted frontrunners like Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man dominate.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "War Machine" at 2%, followed by "Nuremberg" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "War Machine" at just 2%, with "Nuremberg" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.